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Predictions › Argentina › Aldosivi vs River Plate
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction

José María Minella

AldosiviHome
0.83 : 1.34
expected goals
River PlateAway
22%Aldosivi
30%Draw
48%River Plate
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
River Plate to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Aldosivi 0.8, River Plate 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
14% chanceFair price 6.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aldosivi 22%, the draw 30% and River Plate 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aldosivi took 6 points from their last 5 games and River Plate took 10 from 5. River Plate come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aldosivi won 3 of their last 11 games at home. River Plate won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aldosivi score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. River Plate score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Aldosivi games and 9 of River Plate games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Aldosivi won 0 and River Plate won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended River Plate 3, Aldosivi 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Aldosivirecent form-3%
  • River Platerecent form+1%
Aldosivi form D L L L WRiver Plate form D W D W LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aldosivi vs River Plate: River Plate are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aldosivi host River Plate in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at José María Minella. Our prediction for Aldosivi vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Aldosivi form

Aldosivi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

River Plate form

River Plate have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Aldosivi won 0, River Plate won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished River Plate 3, Aldosivi 1.

Our call

We expect Aldosivi to score about 0.8 goals and River Plate about 1.3. That points to River Plate to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 6.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AldosiviRiver Plate
Games played2020
Wins310
Draws53
Losses127
Goals scored1829
Goals conceded3020
Scored per game0.91.4
Conceded per game1.51.0
Home record3W 4D 4L7W 2D 5L
Away record0W 1D 8L3W 1D 2L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.70
Over 3.5 goals18%5.68
Both teams to score42%2.35
Aldosivi or Draw52%1.92
River Plate or Draw78%1.29
Aldosivi to win and Over 2.510%10.22
River Plate to win and Over 2.523%4.30
Aldosivi clean sheet26%3.84
River Plate clean sheet44%2.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.5%
1-113.4%
0-012.1%
0-210.3%
1-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Our prediction for Aldosivi vs River Plate is River Plate to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Aldosivi vs River Plate?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Aldosivi to score 0.8 goals and River Plate 1.3.

Will both teams score in Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Aldosivi last 20 games and 9 of River Plate last 20.

How are Aldosivi playing?

Aldosivi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are River Plate playing?

River Plate have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Aldosivi and River Plate last met?

It ended River Plate 3, Aldosivi 1. In the last 1 meeting Aldosivi won 0 and River Plate won 1.

What is the best bet for Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aldosivi against River Plate. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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