EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Peru › Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 Peru time

Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II prediction

Estadio Campeones del '36

Alianza AtléticoHome
2.10 : 1.23
expected goals
Juan Pablo IIAway
57%Alianza Atl
22%Draw
21%Juan Pablo II
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II is Alianza Atlético to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Alianza Atlético to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Alianza Atlético 2.1, Juan Pablo II 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Alianza Atlético to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alianza Atlético 57%, the draw 22% and Juan Pablo II 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alianza Atlético took 9 points from their last 5 games and Juan Pablo II took 11 from 5. Juan Pablo II come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alianza Atlético won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Juan Pablo II won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alianza Atlético score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Juan Pablo II score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Alianza Atlético games and 10 of Juan Pablo II games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alianza Atlético won 1 and Juan Pablo II won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Juan Pablo II 0, Alianza Atlético 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alianza Atlrecent form+3%
  • Juan Pablo IIrecent form+3%
Alianza Atl form D W W L WJuan Pablo II form D D W W DHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II: Alianza Atlético are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Alianza Atlético host Juan Pablo II in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 at Estadio Campeones del '36. Our prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II is Alianza Atlético to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Alianza Atlético form

Alianza Atlético have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alianza Atlético won 1, Juan Pablo II won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Juan Pablo II 0, Alianza Atlético 2.

Our call

We expect Alianza Atlético to score about 2.1 goals and Juan Pablo II about 1.2. That points to Alianza Atlético to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Alianza Atlético to win and Over 2.5 at 2.35.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Alianza AtlJuan Pablo II
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws27
Losses87
Goals scored3530
Goals conceded3232
Scored per game1.81.5
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record6W 1D 2L4W 4D 2L
Away record4W 1D 6L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals70%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%2.35
Both teams to score63%1.60
Alianza Atlético or Draw79%1.27
Juan Pablo II or Draw43%2.31
Alianza Atlético to win and Over 2.542%2.39
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.515%6.76
Alianza Atlético clean sheet29%3.43
Juan Pablo II clean sheet12%8.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-19.7%
2-07.9%
1-07.0%
3-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II?

Our prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II is Alianza Atlético to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Alianza Atlético to score 2.1 goals and Juan Pablo II 1.2.

Will both teams score in Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Alianza Atlético last 20 games and 12 of Juan Pablo II last 20.

How are Alianza Atlético playing?

Alianza Atlético have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

Juan Pablo II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Alianza Atlético and Juan Pablo II last met?

It ended Juan Pablo II 0, Alianza Atlético 2. In the last 2 meetings Alianza Atlético won 1 and Juan Pablo II won 1.

What is the best bet for Alianza Atlético vs Juan Pablo II?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alianza Atl against Juan Pablo II. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.