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Predictions › Colombia › Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera ASat 24 Oct, 21:05 Colombia time

Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá prediction

Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza FCHome
1.42 : 1.25
expected goals
Internacional de BogotáAway
40%Alianza FC
27%Draw
32%Inter Bogotá
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá is Alianza FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Alianza FC to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Alianza FC 1.4, Internacional de Bogotá 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alianza FC 40%, the draw 27% and Internacional de Bogotá 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alianza FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Internacional de Bogotá took 3 from 5. Alianza FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alianza FC won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Internacional de Bogotá won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alianza FC score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Internacional de Bogotá score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Alianza FC games and 12 of Internacional de Bogotá games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alianza FC won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Internacional de Bogotá 2, Alianza FC 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Bogotárecent form-3%
Alianza FC form D L W L WInter Bogotá form D D D L LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá: Alianza FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Alianza FC host Internacional de Bogotá in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 24 Oct, 21:05 at Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá is Alianza FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Alianza FC form

Alianza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alianza FC won 1, Internacional de Bogotá won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional de Bogotá 2, Alianza FC 1.

Our call

We expect Alianza FC to score about 1.4 goals and Internacional de Bogotá about 1.3. That points to Alianza FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Alianza FCInter Bogotá
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws68
Losses108
Goals scored2026
Goals conceded3435
Scored per game1.01.3
Conceded per game1.71.8
Home record1W 5D 5L4W 3D 3L
Away record3W 1D 5L0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.60
Both teams to score55%1.83
Alianza FC or Draw68%1.48
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw60%1.67
Alianza FC to win and Over 2.524%4.15
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.519%5.26
Alianza FC clean sheet29%3.48
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet24%4.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.1%
2-18.7%
0-18.0%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá is Alianza FC to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Alianza FC to score 1.4 goals and Internacional de Bogotá 1.3.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Alianza FC last 20 games and 14 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20.

How are Alianza FC playing?

Alianza FC have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Alianza FC and Internacional de Bogotá last met?

It ended Internacional de Bogotá 2, Alianza FC 1. In the last 2 meetings Alianza FC won 1 and Internacional de Bogotá won 1.

What is the best bet for Alianza FC vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alianza FC against Inter Bogotá. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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