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Predictions › Colombia › Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC
Colombian Primera AMon 9 Nov, 01:15 Colombia time

Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC prediction

Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza FCHome
1.08 : 1.10
expected goals
Llaneros FCAway
34%Alianza FC
31%Draw
35%Llaneros FC
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Llaneros FC to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Alianza FC 1.1, Llaneros FC 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alianza FC 34%, the draw 31% and Llaneros FC 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alianza FC took 7 points from their last 5 games and Llaneros FC took 3 from 5. Alianza FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alianza FC won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Llaneros FC won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alianza FC score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. Llaneros FC score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Alianza FC games and 8 of Llaneros FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alianza FC won 1 and Llaneros FC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Llaneros FC 0, Alianza FC 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Llaneros FCrecent form-3%
  • Alianza FCrest between games-5%
Alianza FC form L W W D LLlaneros FC form D L W L LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC: Llaneros FC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Alianza FC host Llaneros FC in the Colombian Primera A on Mon 9 Nov, 01:15 at Armando Maestre Pavajeau. Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Alianza FC form

Alianza FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Llaneros FC form

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alianza FC won 1, Llaneros FC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Llaneros FC 0, Alianza FC 0.

Our call

We expect Alianza FC to score about 1.1 goals and Llaneros FC about 1.1. That points to Llaneros FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Alianza FCLlaneros FC
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws54
Losses1011
Goals scored1917
Goals conceded3227
Scored per game0.90.8
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record2W 4D 5L4W 1D 4L
Away record3W 1D 5L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.68
Both teams to score45%2.23
Alianza FC or Draw65%1.54
Llaneros FC or Draw66%1.51
Alianza FC to win and Over 2.516%6.27
Llaneros FC to win and Over 2.517%6.02
Alianza FC clean sheet33%3.01
Llaneros FC clean sheet34%2.93

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%
0-012.1%
0-111.7%
1-011.4%
1-27.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC?

Our prediction for Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC is Llaneros FC to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Alianza FC to score 1.1 goals and Llaneros FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Alianza FC last 20 games and 9 of Llaneros FC last 20.

How are Alianza FC playing?

Alianza FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Llaneros FC playing?

Llaneros FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Alianza FC and Llaneros FC last met?

It ended Llaneros FC 0, Alianza FC 0. In the last 2 meetings Alianza FC won 1 and Llaneros FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Alianza FC vs Llaneros FC?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alianza FC against Llaneros FC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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