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Predictions › Peru › Alianza Lima vs ADT
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 19 Sept, 01:00 Peru time

Alianza Lima vs ADT prediction

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza LimaHome
2.20 : 0.77
expected goals
ADTAway
69%Alianza Lima
19%Draw
11%ADT
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Alianza Lima vs ADT is Alianza Lima to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Alianza Lima to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Alianza Lima 2.2, ADT 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Alianza Lima to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alianza Lima 69%, the draw 19% and ADT 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alianza Lima took 5 points from their last 5 games and ADT took 2 from 5. Alianza Lima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alianza Lima won 7 of their last 10 games at home. ADT won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alianza Lima score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. ADT score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Alianza Lima games and 11 of ADT games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Alianza Lima won 1 and ADT won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended ADT 0, Alianza Lima 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Alianza Limarecent form-1%
  • ADTrecent form-4%
  • Alianza Limarest between games-5%
Alianza Lima form L D L D WADT form L L L D DHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Alianza Lima vs ADT: Alianza Lima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Alianza Lima host ADT in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 19 Sept, 01:00 at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Our prediction for Alianza Lima vs ADT is Alianza Lima to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Alianza Lima form

Alianza Lima have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Alianza Lima won 1, ADT won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished ADT 0, Alianza Lima 1.

Our call

We expect Alianza Lima to score about 2.2 goals and ADT about 0.8. That points to Alianza Lima to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Alianza Lima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Alianza LimaADT
Games played2020
Wins104
Draws75
Losses311
Goals scored3324
Goals conceded1534
Scored per game1.61.2
Conceded per game0.81.7
Home record7W 1D 2L3W 2D 6L
Away record3W 6D 1L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals35%2.90
Both teams to score48%2.07
Alianza Lima or Draw89%1.13
ADT or Draw31%3.27
Alianza Lima to win and Over 2.546%2.16
ADT to win and Over 2.56%16.04
Alianza Lima clean sheet46%2.16
ADT clean sheet11%8.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-012.4%
1-010.8%
2-19.6%
1-19.2%
3-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Alianza Lima vs ADT?

Our prediction for Alianza Lima vs ADT is Alianza Lima to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Alianza Lima vs ADT?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Alianza Lima to score 2.2 goals and ADT 0.8.

Will both teams score in Alianza Lima vs ADT?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Alianza Lima last 20 games and 12 of ADT last 20.

How are Alianza Lima playing?

Alianza Lima have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Alianza Lima and ADT last met?

It ended ADT 0, Alianza Lima 1. In the last 1 meeting Alianza Lima won 1 and ADT won 0.

What is the best bet for Alianza Lima vs ADT?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alianza Lima against ADT. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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