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Predictions › Spain › Almería vs FC Andorra
LaLiga 2Sat 14 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Almería vs FC Andorra prediction

Power Horse Stadium

AlmeríaHome
2.32 : 1.23
expected goals
FC AndorraAway
61%Almería
20%Draw
19%FC Andorra
Eagle safe pickAlmería or Draw
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Almería vs FC Andorra is Almería to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.23.

Prediction
Almería to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Almería 2.3, FC Andorra 1.2
Best bet
Almería or Draw at 1.23
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Almería or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Almería to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Almería 61%, the draw 20% and FC Andorra 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Almería took 11 points from their last 5 games and FC Andorra took 5 from 5. Almería come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Almería won 7 of their last 10 games at home. FC Andorra won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Almería score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.0. FC Andorra score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Almería games and 10 of FC Andorra games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Almería won 2 and FC Andorra won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Almería 3, FC Andorra 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Almería or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Almeríarecent form+4%
  • FC Andorrarecent form-1%
  • FC Andorrarest between games-2%
Almería form D W D W WFC Andorra form D L L W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Almería vs FC Andorra: Almería are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Almería host FC Andorra in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 14 Nov, 17:30 at Power Horse Stadium. Our prediction for Almería vs FC Andorra is Almería to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.23.

Almería form

Almería have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Almería won 2, FC Andorra won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Almería 3, FC Andorra 2.

Our call

We expect Almería to score about 2.3 goals and FC Andorra about 1.2. That points to Almería to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Almería or Draw at 1.23. Our bold bet is Almería to win and Over 2.5 at 2.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlmeríaFC Andorra
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws52
Losses511
Goals scored3129
Goals conceded2029
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.01.4
Home record7W 1D 2L4W 0D 6L
Away record3W 4D 3L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.11
Both teams to score64%1.56
Almería or Draw81%1.23
FC Andorra or Draw39%2.58
Almería to win and Over 2.547%2.12
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.513%7.47
Almería clean sheet29%3.41
FC Andorra clean sheet10%10.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.5%
1-18.7%
2-07.8%
3-17.3%
1-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Almería vs FC Andorra?

Our prediction for Almería vs FC Andorra is Almería to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Almería vs FC Andorra?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Almería to score 2.3 goals and FC Andorra 1.2.

Will both teams score in Almería vs FC Andorra?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Almería last 20 games and 9 of FC Andorra last 20.

How are Almería playing?

Almería have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are FC Andorra playing?

FC Andorra have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Almería and FC Andorra last met?

It ended Almería 3, FC Andorra 2. In the last 2 meetings Almería won 2 and FC Andorra won 0.

What is the best bet for Almería vs FC Andorra?

Almería or Draw at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Almería against FC Andorra. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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