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Predictions › Spain › Almería vs Real Oviedo
LaLiga 2Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Spain time

Almería vs Real Oviedo prediction

Power Horse Stadium

AlmeríaHome
2.60 : 1.18
expected goals
Real OviedoAway
67%Almería
18%Draw
15%Real Oviedo
Eagle safe pickAlmería or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Almería vs Real Oviedo is Almería to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Almería to win
Chance
67%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Almería 2.6, Real Oviedo 1.2
Best bet
Almería or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Almería or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Almería to win and both score
39% chanceFair price 2.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Almería 67%, the draw 18% and Real Oviedo 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Almería took 15 points from their last 5 games and Real Oviedo took 9 from 5. Almería come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Almería won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Real Oviedo won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Almería score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.1. Real Oviedo score 1.0 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Almería games and 9 of Real Oviedo games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Almería or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Almeríarecent form+6%
  • Real Oviedorest between games-2%
Almería form D W W W WReal Oviedo form D L W L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Almería vs Real Oviedo: Almería are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Almería host Real Oviedo in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 at Power Horse Stadium. Our prediction for Almería vs Real Oviedo is Almería to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.20.

Almería form

Almería have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Real Oviedo form

Real Oviedo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Almería to score about 2.6 goals and Real Oviedo about 1.2. That points to Almería to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Almería or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Almería to win and both score at 2.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AlmeríaReal Oviedo
Games played2020
Wins127
Draws34
Losses59
Goals scored3520
Goals conceded2125
Scored per game1.81.0
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record9W 0D 2L4W 4D 3L
Away record3W 3D 3L3W 0D 6L
Clean sheets40%45%
Both teams scored50%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.37
Over 3.5 goals52%1.92
Both teams to score65%1.55
Almería or Draw85%1.17
Real Oviedo or Draw33%3.06
Almería to win and Over 2.554%1.85
Real Oviedo to win and Over 2.511%9.09
Almería clean sheet31%3.26
Real Oviedo clean sheet7%13.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.1%
3-17.9%
2-07.7%
1-17.4%
3-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Our prediction for Almería vs Real Oviedo is Almería to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Almería or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Almería vs Real Oviedo?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Almería to score 2.6 goals and Real Oviedo 1.2.

Will both teams score in Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Almería last 20 games and 6 of Real Oviedo last 20.

How are Almería playing?

Almería have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Real Oviedo playing?

Real Oviedo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Almería vs Real Oviedo?

Almería or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Almería against Real Oviedo. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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