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Predictions › United Kingdom › Altrincham vs Notts County
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 17:30 United Kingdom time

Altrincham vs Notts County prediction

J. Davidson Stadium

AltrinchamHome
1.93 : 1.38
expected goals
Notts CountyAway
50%Altrincham
23%Draw
27%Notts County
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County is Altrincham to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Altrincham to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Altrincham 1.9, Notts County 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Altrincham to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 9/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Altrincham 50%, the draw 23% and Notts County 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Altrincham took 0 points from their last 1 games and Notts County took 4 from 5. Notts County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Altrincham score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Notts County score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Altrincham games and 4 of Notts County games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Altrinchamrecent form+4%
  • Altrinchamrest between games-3%
Altrincham form D W W D WNotts County form D W L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Altrincham vs Notts County: Altrincham are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Altrincham host Notts County in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at J. Davidson Stadium. Our prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County is Altrincham to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Altrincham form

Altrincham have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Notts County form

Notts County have 2 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 13 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Altrincham to score about 1.9 goals and Notts County about 1.4. That points to Altrincham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Altrincham to win and Over 2.5 at 9/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

AltrinchamNotts County
Games played113
Wins02
Draws07
Losses14
Goals scored114
Goals conceded217
Scored per game1.01.1
Conceded per game2.01.3
Home recordn/a2W 2D 2L
Away record0W 0D 1L0W 5D 2L
Clean sheets0%8%
Both teams scored100%69%
Over 2.5 goals100%31%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%11/8
Both teams to score65%8/15
Altrincham or Draw73%4/11
Notts County or Draw50%Evens
Altrincham to win and Over 2.537%7/4
Notts County to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Altrincham clean sheet25%3/1
Notts County clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
2-19.4%
2-06.8%
1-26.7%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Altrincham vs Notts County?

Our prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County is Altrincham to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Altrincham vs Notts County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Altrincham to score 1.9 goals and Notts County 1.4.

Will both teams score in Altrincham vs Notts County?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Altrincham last 1 games and 9 of Notts County last 13.

How are Altrincham playing?

Altrincham have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

How are Notts County playing?

Notts County have 2 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 13 games, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Altrincham vs Notts County?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Altrincham against Notts County. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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