Predictions › South Africa › AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows
South African PremiershipSat 31 Oct, 18:00 South Africa time

AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows prediction

Princess Magogo Stadium

AmaZuluHome
1.37 : 0.87
expected goals
Golden ArrowsAway
48%AmaZulu
29%Draw
23%Golden Arrows
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows is AmaZulu to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
AmaZulu to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
AmaZulu 1.4, Golden Arrows 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AmaZulu 48%, the draw 29% and Golden Arrows 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AmaZulu took 12 points from their last 5 games and Golden Arrows took 5 from 5. AmaZulu come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AmaZulu won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Golden Arrows won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AmaZulu score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Golden Arrows score 0.7 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of AmaZulu games and 5 of Golden Arrows games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AmaZulu won 1 and Golden Arrows won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended AmaZulu 1, Golden Arrows 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AmaZulurecent form+3%
AmaZulu form D W W W LGolden Arrows form D D D L WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows: AmaZulu are favourites

The big picture

AmaZulu host Golden Arrows in the South African Premiership on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Princess Magogo Stadium. Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows is AmaZulu to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

AmaZulu form

AmaZulu have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Golden Arrows form

Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AmaZulu won 1, Golden Arrows won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished AmaZulu 1, Golden Arrows 1.

Our call

We expect AmaZulu to score about 1.4 goals and Golden Arrows about 0.9. That points to AmaZulu to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AmaZuluGolden Arrows
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws610
Losses44
Goals scored2514
Goals conceded1915
Scored per game1.30.7
Conceded per game0.90.8
Home record4W 4D 1L3W 6D 2L
Away record6W 2D 3L3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets40%55%
Both teams scored45%35%
Over 2.5 goals35%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals39%2.58
Over 3.5 goals19%5.30
Both teams to score44%2.27
AmaZulu or Draw77%1.30
Golden Arrows or Draw52%1.91
AmaZulu to win and Over 2.524%4.19
Golden Arrows to win and Over 2.511%9.45
AmaZulu clean sheet42%2.39
Golden Arrows clean sheet25%3.93

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.8%
1-113.5%
0-011.4%
2-010.0%
2-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows?

Our prediction for AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows is AmaZulu to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect AmaZulu to score 1.4 goals and Golden Arrows 0.9.

Will both teams score in AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AmaZulu last 20 games and 7 of Golden Arrows last 20.

How are AmaZulu playing?

AmaZulu have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Golden Arrows playing?

Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when AmaZulu and Golden Arrows last met?

It ended AmaZulu 1, Golden Arrows 1. In the last 2 meetings AmaZulu won 1 and Golden Arrows won 0.

What is the best bet for AmaZulu vs Golden Arrows?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AmaZulu against Golden Arrows. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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