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Predictions › Turkey › Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor
Super LigSat 21 Nov, 13:00 Turkey time

Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor prediction

Diyarbakir Stadyumu

Amed SFKHome
1.98 : 1.07
expected goals
Caykur RizesporAway
58%Amed SFK
23%Draw
19%Caykur Rizespor
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor is Amed SFK to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Amed SFK to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Amed SFK 2.0, Caykur Rizespor 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Amed SFK to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Amed SFK 58%, the draw 23% and Caykur Rizespor 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Amed SFK the favourite at 1.69.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Amed SFK took 10 points from their last 5 games and Caykur Rizespor took 4 from 5. Amed SFK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Amed SFK won 6 of their last 6 games at home. Caykur Rizespor won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Amed SFK score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Caykur Rizespor score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Amed SFK games and 13 of Caykur Rizespor games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Amed SFKrecent form+3%
  • Caykur Rizesporrecent form-3%
Amed SFK form L W W W DCaykur Rizespor form W D L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor: Amed SFK are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Amed SFK host Caykur Rizespor in the Super Lig on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at Diyarbakir Stadyumu. Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor is Amed SFK to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Amed SFK form

Amed SFK have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 11 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Caykur Rizespor form

Caykur Rizespor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Amed SFK to score about 2.0 goals and Caykur Rizespor about 1.1. That points to Amed SFK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Amed SFK to win and Over 2.5 at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Amed SFKCaykur Rizespor
Games played1120
Wins77
Draws24
Losses29
Goals scored2827
Goals conceded1533
Scored per game2.51.4
Conceded per game1.41.6
Home record6W 0D 0L4W 1D 4L
Away record1W 2D 2L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets27%15%
Both teams scored64%55%
Over 2.5 goals82%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Amed SFK to win52%1.911.69-11.5%
A Draw22%4.544.00-11.9%
Caykur Rizespor to win19%5.374.20-21.8%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.891.56-17.6%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.492.20-11.8%
Amed SFK -0.551%1.951.63-16.7%
Caykur Rizespor +0.542%2.392.05-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.74
Both teams to score57%1.75
Amed SFK or Draw81%1.24
Caykur Rizespor or Draw42%2.37
Amed SFK to win and Over 2.540%2.51
Caykur Rizespor to win and Over 2.512%8.15
Amed SFK clean sheet34%2.92
Caykur Rizespor clean sheet14%7.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.9%
2-09.3%
1-08.8%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Our prediction for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor is Amed SFK to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Amed SFK to score 2.0 goals and Caykur Rizespor 1.1.

Will both teams score in Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Amed SFK last 11 games and 11 of Caykur Rizespor last 20.

How are Amed SFK playing?

Amed SFK have 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 11 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Caykur Rizespor playing?

Caykur Rizespor have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Amed SFK vs Caykur Rizespor?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Amed SFK against Caykur Rizespor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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