Predictions › Colombia › América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo

Colombian Primera ASat 24 Oct, 23:05 Colombia time

América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo prediction

Pascual Guerrero

América de CaliHome

2.33 : 0.64

expected goals

Cúcuta DeportivoAway

75%América Cali

17%Draw

8%Cúcuta

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is América de Cali to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: América de Cali to win
Chance: 75%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: América de Cali 2.3, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

América de Cali to win and both score

26% chanceFair price 3.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives América de Cali 75%, the draw 17% and Cúcuta Deportivo 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
América de Cali took 7 points from their last 5 games and Cúcuta Deportivo took 9 from 5. Cúcuta Deportivo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
América de Cali won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Cúcuta Deportivo won 2 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
América de Cali score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Cúcuta Deportivo score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of América de Cali games and 9 of Cúcuta Deportivo games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, América de Cali won 0 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cúcuta Deportivo 2, América de Cali 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

América Calirecent form+1%

América Cali form D W W D LCúcuta form D W W L LHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo: América de Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

América de Cali host Cúcuta Deportivo in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 24 Oct, 23:05 at Pascual Guerrero. Our prediction for América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is América de Cali to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Cúcuta Deportivo form

Cúcuta Deportivo have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. América de Cali won 0, Cúcuta Deportivo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cúcuta Deportivo 2, América de Cali 0.

Our call

We expect América de Cali to score about 2.3 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo about 0.6. That points to América de Cali to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is América de Cali to win and both score at 3.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	América Cali	Cúcuta
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	7
Draws	4	6
Losses	5	7
Goals scored	32	22
Goals conceded	19	29
Scored per game	1.6	1.1
Conceded per game	0.9	1.4
Home record	7W 1D 2L	5W 3D 1L
Away record	4W 3D 3L	2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	40%	35%
Both teams scored	40%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.75
Over 3.5 goals	35%	2.89
Both teams to score	43%	2.33
América de Cali or Draw	92%	1.09
Cúcuta Deportivo or Draw	25%	4.00
América de Cali to win and Over 2.5	50%	2.02
Cúcuta Deportivo to win and Over 2.5	4%	24.38
América de Cali clean sheet	53%	1.89
Cúcuta Deportivo clean sheet	10%	10.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-014.0%

1-011.5%

3-010.9%

2-18.9%

1-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Our prediction for América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo is América de Cali to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect América de Cali to score 2.3 goals and Cúcuta Deportivo 0.6.

Will both teams score in América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of América de Cali last 20 games and 9 of Cúcuta Deportivo last 20.

How are América de Cali playing?

How are Cúcuta Deportivo playing?

What happened when América de Cali and Cúcuta Deportivo last met?

It ended Cúcuta Deportivo 2, América de Cali 0. In the last 1 meeting América de Cali won 0 and Cúcuta Deportivo won 1.

What is the best bet for América de Cali vs Cúcuta Deportivo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in América Cali against Cúcuta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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