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Predictions › Colombia › América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 01:15 Colombia time

América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali prediction

Pascual Guerrero

América de CaliHome
1.34 : 0.84
expected goals
Deportivo CaliAway
48%América Cali
30%Draw
23%Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
América de Cali to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
América de Cali 1.3, Deportivo Cali 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 6.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives América de Cali 48%, the draw 30% and Deportivo Cali 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    América de Cali took 10 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Cali took 9 from 5. América de Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    América de Cali won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Cali won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    América de Cali score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Deportivo Cali score 1.4 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of América de Cali games and 6 of Deportivo Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, América de Cali won 1 and Deportivo Cali won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Cali 1, América de Cali 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • América Calirecent form+1%
  • Calirecent form+3%
América Cali form D W D L WCali form D W D D WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali: América de Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

América de Cali host Deportivo Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 01:15 at Pascual Guerrero. Our prediction for América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. América de Cali won 1, Deportivo Cali won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Cali 1, América de Cali 0.

Our call

We expect América de Cali to score about 1.3 goals and Deportivo Cali about 0.8. That points to América de Cali to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

América CaliCali
Games played2020
Wins119
Draws58
Losses43
Goals scored3327
Goals conceded1813
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game0.90.7
Home record7W 1D 2L5W 4D 0L
Away record4W 4D 2L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets40%45%
Both teams scored45%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.54
Over 2.5 goals37%2.69
Over 3.5 goals18%5.65
Both teams to score43%2.34
América de Cali or Draw77%1.29
Deportivo Cali or Draw52%1.91
América de Cali to win and Over 2.523%4.31
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.510%10.04
América de Cali clean sheet43%2.31
Deportivo Cali clean sheet26%3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.4%
1-113.5%
0-012.1%
2-010.2%
0-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

Our prediction for América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect América de Cali to score 1.3 goals and Deportivo Cali 0.8.

Will both teams score in América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of América de Cali last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20.

How are América de Cali playing?

América de Cali have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when América de Cali and Deportivo Cali last met?

It ended Deportivo Cali 1, América de Cali 0. In the last 2 meetings América de Cali won 1 and Deportivo Cali won 1.

What is the best bet for América de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in América Cali against Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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