Predictions › United States › Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames
NHLFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Anaheim DucksAway
2.9 : 3.3
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
47%Ducks
53%Flames
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-463

Quick answer

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.9 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -463.

Prediction
Calgary Flames to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Anaheim Ducks 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -463

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4632 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ducks to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 53% and Anaheim Ducks 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 4 of their last 5 and Anaheim Ducks won 1 of their last 5. Calgary Flames come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Anaheim Ducks won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.4 goals a game and let in 3.3. Anaheim Ducks score 2.8 and let in 4.0. Their recent games average 5.7 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Calgary Flames won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 3. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary Flames shade it

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Anaheim Ducks in the NHL on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.9 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -463.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 80 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 2, Anaheim Ducks won 3. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4.

Our call

We expect Anaheim Ducks to score about 2.9 goals and Calgary Flames about 3.3. That points to Calgary Flames to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -463. Our bold bet is Ducks to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesDucks
Games played2020
Wins87
Losses1213
Goals scored4755
Goals conceded6680
Scored per game2.42.8
Conceded per game3.34.0
Home record7W 5L3W 7L
Away record1W 7L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.533%+199
Flames -0.550%+102
Flames +0.566%-192
Total goalsOverUnder
5.562%38%
6.545%55%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.9 and Calgary Flames 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -463.

What is the projected score for Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames?

We project Anaheim Ducks 2.9 and Calgary Flames 3.3, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 80 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Anaheim Ducks last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Calgary Flames 4. In the last 5 meetings Calgary Flames won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 3.

What is the best bet for Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames?

Under 8 goals at -463, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Ducks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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