Predictions › United States › Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLThu 19 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Anaheim DucksAway
2.8 : 4.4
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
22%Ducks
78%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickUnder 9 goals
-463

Quick answer

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 78% chance. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 4.4. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -463.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Anaheim Ducks 3, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
7.1 goals
Best bet
Under 9 goals at -463

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 9 goals
82% chanceFair price -4632 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 78% and Anaheim Ducks 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 3 of their last 5 and Anaheim Ducks won 5 of their last 5. Anaheim Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Anaheim Ducks won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.9 goals a game and let in 3.0. Anaheim Ducks score 3.5 and let in 4.1. Their recent games average 6.8 and 7.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 1. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 1, Colorado Avalanche 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 9 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-2%
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Anaheim Ducks in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 78% chance. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 4.4. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -463.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 2, Anaheim Ducks won 1. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 1, Colorado Avalanche 5.

Our call

We expect Anaheim Ducks to score about 2.8 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 4.4. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 9 goals at -463.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheDucks
Games played2020
Wins1110
Losses910
Goals scored7771
Goals conceded6082
Scored per game3.93.5
Conceded per game3.04.1
Home record8W 3L3W 5L
Away record3W 6L7W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -2.536%+178
Avalanche -1.552%-109
Avalanche -0.568%-214
Total goalsOverUnder
6.561%39%
7.544%56%
8.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 78% chance. We project Anaheim Ducks 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 4.4. Our best bet is Under 9 goals at -463.

What is the projected score for Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Anaheim Ducks 2.8 and Colorado Avalanche 4.4, about 7.1 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Anaheim Ducks last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 1, Colorado Avalanche 5. In the last 3 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 1.

What is the best bet for Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche?

Under 9 goals at -463, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Ducks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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