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Predictions › United States › Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers
NHLSat 24 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Anaheim DucksAway
3.0 : 2.8
projected goals
Philadelphia FlyersHome
56%Ducks
44%Flyers
Eagle safe pickOver 4 goals
-386

Quick answer

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 3.0 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -386.

Prediction
Anaheim Ducks to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Anaheim Ducks 3, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Over 4 goals at -386

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 4 goals
79% chanceFair price -3862 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
44% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Philadelphia Flyers 44% and Anaheim Ducks 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Philadelphia Flyers won 0 of their last 5 and Anaheim Ducks won 3 of their last 5. Anaheim Ducks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Philadelphia Flyers won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Anaheim Ducks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Philadelphia Flyers score 1.6 goals a game and let in 3.4. Anaheim Ducks score 2.9 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.0 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Philadelphia Flyers won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 0. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 4 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flyersrest between games-5%
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers: Anaheim Ducks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Philadelphia Flyers host Anaheim Ducks in the NHL on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 3.0 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -386.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Philadelphia Flyers won 2, Anaheim Ducks won 0. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3.

Our call

We expect Anaheim Ducks to score about 3.0 goals and Philadelphia Flyers about 2.8. That points to Anaheim Ducks to win. Our safest bet is Over 4 goals at -386. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlyersDucks
Games played2020
Wins310
Losses1710
Goals scored3158
Goals conceded6871
Scored per game1.62.9
Conceded per game3.43.5
Home record3W 8L6W 5L
Away record0W 9L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flyers spreadCoversFair
Flyers -0.538%+164
Flyers +0.554%-119
Flyers +1.570%-234
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.554%46%
6.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flyers +3.5 wins if Flyers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Our prediction for Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers is Anaheim Ducks to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Anaheim Ducks 3.0 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8. Our best bet is Over 4 goals at -386.

What is the projected score for Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers?

We project Anaheim Ducks 3.0 and Philadelphia Flyers 2.8, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Philadelphia Flyers and Anaheim Ducks last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3. In the last 2 meetings Philadelphia Flyers won 2 and Anaheim Ducks won 0.

What is the best bet for Anaheim Ducks vs Philadelphia Flyers?

Over 4 goals at -386, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flyers against Ducks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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