Predictions › France › Angers vs Nice

Ligue 1Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 France time

Angers vs Nice prediction

Stade Raymond Kopa

AngersHome

1.24 : 1.48

expected goals

NiceAway

31%Angers

27%Draw

42%Nice

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Angers vs Nice is Nice to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction: Nice to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Angers 1.2, Nice 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.302 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Angers to win

30% chancePrice 3.251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Angers 31%, the draw 27% and Nice 42%. The bookmakers agree and make Nice the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Angers took 5 points from their last 5 games and Nice took 9 from 5. Nice come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Angers won 1 of their last 11 games at home. Nice won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Angers score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Nice score 0.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Angers games and 10 of Nice games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Angers won 1 and Nice won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Angers 0, Nice 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Angersrecent form-1%

Angers form D L L W DNice form D L W W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Angers vs Nice: Nice shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Angers host Nice in the Ligue 1 on Sun 8 Nov, 16:15 at Stade Raymond Kopa. Our prediction for Angers vs Nice is Nice to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Angers form

Angers have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Nice form

Nice have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Angers won 1, Nice won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Angers 0, Nice 2.

Our call

We expect Angers to score about 1.2 goals and Nice about 1.5. That points to Nice to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Angers to win at 3.25.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Angers	Nice
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	4
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	8
Goals scored	16	18
Goals conceded	36	30
Scored per game	0.8	0.9
Conceded per game	1.8	1.5
Home record	1W 4D 6L	2W 6D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 5L	2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	20%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Angers to win	30%	3.31	3.25	-1.8%
A Draw	26%	3.79	3.50	-7.6%
Nice to win	41%	2.43	2.10	-13.5%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.02	1.69	-16.3%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.26	2.05	-9.2%
Angers +0.5	51%	1.97	1.67	-15.2%
Nice -0.5	43%	2.33	2.00	-14.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1.31
Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.96
Over 3.5 goals	29%	3.45
Both teams to score	56%	1.80
Angers or Draw	58%	1.72
Nice or Draw	69%	1.45
Angers to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.39
Nice to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.89
Angers clean sheet	23%	4.38
Nice clean sheet	29%	3.46

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%

0-19.0%

1-28.9%

2-17.5%

1-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Angers vs Nice?

Our prediction for Angers vs Nice is Nice to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Angers vs Nice?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Angers to score 1.2 goals and Nice 1.5.

Will both teams score in Angers vs Nice?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Angers last 20 games and 11 of Nice last 20.

How are Angers playing?

How are Nice playing?

What happened when Angers and Nice last met?

It ended Angers 0, Nice 2. In the last 2 meetings Angers won 1 and Nice won 1.

What is the best bet for Angers vs Nice?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Angers against Nice. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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