Predictions › France › Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine
Ligue 2Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 France time

Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine prediction

Parc des Sports

AnnecyHome
1.31 : 1.06
expected goals
AS Nancy LorraineAway
42%Annecy
29%Draw
29%Nancy
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Annecy to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Annecy to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Annecy 1.3, AS Nancy Lorraine 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Annecy 42%, the draw 29% and AS Nancy Lorraine 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Annecy took 4 points from their last 5 games and AS Nancy Lorraine took 9 from 5. AS Nancy Lorraine come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Annecy won 4 of their last 10 games at home. AS Nancy Lorraine won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Annecy score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. AS Nancy Lorraine score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Annecy games and 10 of AS Nancy Lorraine games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Annecy won 1 and AS Nancy Lorraine won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Annecy 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Annecyrecent form-3%
  • Nancyrecent form+1%
Annecy form L L W D LNancy form W L L W WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine: Annecy shade it

The big picture

Annecy host AS Nancy Lorraine in the Ligue 2 on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00 at Parc des Sports. Our prediction for Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Annecy to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Annecy form

Annecy have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

AS Nancy Lorraine form

AS Nancy Lorraine have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Annecy won 1, AS Nancy Lorraine won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Annecy 5.

Our call

We expect Annecy to score about 1.3 goals and AS Nancy Lorraine about 1.1. That points to Annecy to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.26.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AnnecyNancy
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws47
Losses77
Goals scored3125
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record4W 3D 3L3W 2D 5L
Away record5W 1D 4L3W 5D 2L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.37
Over 3.5 goals21%4.67
Both teams to score48%2.07
Annecy or Draw71%1.41
AS Nancy Lorraine or Draw58%1.71
Annecy to win and Over 2.522%4.55
AS Nancy Lorraine to win and Over 2.515%6.71
Annecy clean sheet35%2.88
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet27%3.70

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-011.5%
0-010.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Our prediction for Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine is Annecy to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Annecy to score 1.3 goals and AS Nancy Lorraine 1.1.

Will both teams score in Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Annecy last 20 games and 12 of AS Nancy Lorraine last 20.

How are Annecy playing?

Annecy have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are AS Nancy Lorraine playing?

AS Nancy Lorraine have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Annecy and AS Nancy Lorraine last met?

It ended AS Nancy Lorraine 1, Annecy 5. In the last 2 meetings Annecy won 1 and AS Nancy Lorraine won 1.

What is the best bet for Annecy vs AS Nancy Lorraine?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Annecy against Nancy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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