PredictionsFranceAnnecy vs Dijon FCO
Ligue 2Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 France time

Annecy vs Dijon FCO prediction

Parc des Sports

AnnecyHome
1.37 : 0.80
expected goals
Dijon FCOAway
50%Annecy
29%Draw
21%Dijon FCO
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Annecy vs Dijon FCO is Annecy to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Annecy to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Annecy 1.4, Dijon FCO 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
42%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Annecy 50%, the draw 29% and Dijon FCO 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Annecy took 7 points from their last 5 games and Dijon FCO took 5 from 5. Annecy come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Annecy won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Dijon FCO won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Annecy score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Dijon FCO score 1.3 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Annecy games and 2 of Dijon FCO games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dijon FCOrecent form-1%
  • Annecyrest between games-5%
  • Dijon FCOrest between games-5%
Annecy form L W D L WDijon FCO form W D L D LHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Annecy vs Dijon FCO: Annecy are favourites

The big picture

Annecy host Dijon FCO in the Ligue 2 on Fri 18 Sept, 18:00 at Parc des Sports. Our prediction for Annecy vs Dijon FCO is Annecy to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

Annecy form

Annecy have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Dijon FCO form

Dijon FCO have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Annecy to score about 1.4 goals and Dijon FCO about 0.8. That points to Annecy to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AnnecyDijon FCO
Games played206
Wins101
Draws43
Losses62
Goals scored318
Goals conceded259
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.31.5
Home record4W 3D 2L1W 0D 2L
Away record6W 1D 4L0W 3D 0L
Clean sheets30%0%
Both teams scored60%83%
Over 2.5 goals60%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.55
Over 2.5 goals37%2.71
Over 3.5 goals17%5.73
Both teams to score42%2.39
Annecy or Draw79%1.27
Dijon FCO or Draw50%1.99
Annecy to win and Over 2.524%4.17
Dijon FCO to win and Over 2.59%11.04
Annecy clean sheet45%2.22
Dijon FCO clean sheet25%3.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.9%
1-113.3%
0-012.2%
2-010.7%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Annecy vs Dijon FCO?

Our prediction for Annecy vs Dijon FCO is Annecy to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Annecy vs Dijon FCO?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Annecy to score 1.4 goals and Dijon FCO 0.8.

Will both teams score in Annecy vs Dijon FCO?

Both teams to score has a 42% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Annecy last 20 games and 5 of Dijon FCO last 6.

How are Annecy playing?

Annecy have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Dijon FCO playing?

Dijon FCO have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Annecy vs Dijon FCO?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Annecy against Dijon FCO. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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