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Predictions › Belgium › Antwerp vs Lommel SK
Belgian Pro LeagueSat 7 Nov, 19:45 Belgium time

Antwerp vs Lommel SK prediction

Bosuilstadion

AntwerpHome
1.54 : 1.70
expected goals
Lommel SKAway
34%Antwerp
24%Draw
41%Lommel SK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Lommel SK to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Antwerp 1.5, Lommel SK 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Lommel SK to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Antwerp 34%, the draw 24% and Lommel SK 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Antwerp took 3 points from their last 5 games and Lommel SK took 5 from 5. Lommel SK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Antwerp won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Lommel SK won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Antwerp score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.9. Lommel SK score 1.2 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Antwerp games and 4 of Lommel SK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Antwerprecent form-6%
  • Lommel SKrecent form-1%
Antwerp form D L L L LLommel SK form D W D L LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Antwerp vs Lommel SK: Lommel SK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Antwerp host Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 at Bosuilstadion. Our prediction for Antwerp vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Antwerp form

Antwerp have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Lommel SK form

Lommel SK have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Antwerp to score about 1.5 goals and Lommel SK about 1.7. That points to Lommel SK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Lommel SK to win and Over 2.5 at 3.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AntwerpLommel SK
Games played209
Wins73
Draws23
Losses113
Goals scored2711
Goals conceded3711
Scored per game1.41.2
Conceded per game1.91.2
Home record4W 1D 5L1W 1D 2L
Away record3W 1D 6L2W 2D 1L
Clean sheets25%33%
Both teams scored45%33%
Over 2.5 goals65%44%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%2.45
Both teams to score65%1.54
Antwerp or Draw59%1.70
Lommel SK or Draw66%1.53
Antwerp to win and Over 2.524%4.10
Lommel SK to win and Over 2.530%3.39
Antwerp clean sheet18%5.49
Lommel SK clean sheet21%4.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.7%
0-16.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Antwerp vs Lommel SK?

Our prediction for Antwerp vs Lommel SK is Lommel SK to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Antwerp vs Lommel SK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Antwerp to score 1.5 goals and Lommel SK 1.7.

Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Lommel SK?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Antwerp last 20 games and 3 of Lommel SK last 9.

How are Antwerp playing?

Antwerp have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Lommel SK playing?

Lommel SK have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 9 games, with 11 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 5. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Antwerp vs Lommel SK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Antwerp against Lommel SK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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