Predictions › United States › App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 18:30 United States time

App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction

Allen E. Paulson Stadium

App State MountaineersAway
28.4 : 32.2
projected points
Georgia Southern EaglesHome
46%App State
54%GA Southern
Eagle safe pickGA Southern +6.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 28.4 and Georgia Southern Eagles 32.2. Our best bet is GA Southern +6.5 at -299.

Prediction
Georgia Southern Eagles to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
App State Mountaineers 28, Georgia Southern Eagles 32
Projected total
60.6 points
Best bet
GA Southern +6.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

GA Southern +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

App State to win
41% chanceFair price +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia Southern Eagles 54% and App State Mountaineers 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 2 of their last 5 and App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5. App State Mountaineers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia Southern Eagles won 5 of their last 9 games at home. App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia Southern Eagles score 27.8 points a game and let in 26.7. App State Mountaineers score 25.7 and let in 29.1. Their recent games average 54.4 and 54.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Georgia Southern Eagles won 2 and App State Mountaineers won 0. The last one ended App State Mountaineers 10, Georgia Southern Eagles 29.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    GA Southern +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles: Georgia Southern Eagles shade it

The big picture

Georgia Southern Eagles host App State Mountaineers in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 28.4 and Georgia Southern Eagles 32.2. Our best bet is GA Southern +6.5 at -299.

Georgia Southern Eagles form

Georgia Southern Eagles have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 500 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

App State Mountaineers form

App State Mountaineers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 437 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Georgia Southern Eagles won 2, App State Mountaineers won 0. Last time out it finished App State Mountaineers 10, Georgia Southern Eagles 29.

Our call

We expect App State Mountaineers to score about 28.4 points and Georgia Southern Eagles about 32.2. That points to Georgia Southern Eagles to win. Our safest bet is GA Southern +6.5 at -299. Our bold bet is App State to win at +142.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

GA SouthernApp State
Games played1817
Wins107
Losses810
Points scored500437
Points conceded480494
Scored per game27.825.7
Conceded per game26.729.1
Home record5W 4L4W 5L
Away record5W 4L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

GA Southern spreadCoversFair
GA Southern -10.534%+197
GA Southern -6.543%+131
GA Southern -3.551%-103
GA Southern -0.558%-139
GA Southern +3.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
53.567%33%
57.558%42%
60.550%50%
63.543%57%
67.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. GA Southern +3.5 wins if GA Southern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles is Georgia Southern Eagles to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 28.4 and Georgia Southern Eagles 32.2. Our best bet is GA Southern +6.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

We project App State Mountaineers 28.4 and Georgia Southern Eagles 32.2, about 60.6 points in total.

How are Georgia Southern Eagles playing?

Georgia Southern Eagles have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 500 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are App State Mountaineers playing?

App State Mountaineers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 437 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Georgia Southern Eagles and App State Mountaineers last met?

It ended App State Mountaineers 10, Georgia Southern Eagles 29. In the last 2 meetings Georgia Southern Eagles won 2 and App State Mountaineers won 0.

What is the best bet for App State Mountaineers vs Georgia Southern Eagles?

GA Southern +6.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GA Southern against App State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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