EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 18:00 United States time

App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

App State MountaineersAway
25.5 : 28.7
projected points
Marshall Thundering HerdHome
47%App State
53%Marshall
Eagle safe pickUnder 64.5 points
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 25.5 and Marshall Thundering Herd 28.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -305.

Prediction
Marshall Thundering Herd to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
App State Mountaineers 25, Marshall Thundering Herd 29
Projected total
54.1 points
Best bet
Under 64.5 points at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 64.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

App State to win
40% chanceFair price +1471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marshall Thundering Herd 53% and App State Mountaineers 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 3 of their last 5 and App State Mountaineers won 2 of their last 5. Marshall Thundering Herd come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 6 of their last 9 games at home. App State Mountaineers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Marshall Thundering Herd score 29.4 points a game and let in 29.7. App State Mountaineers score 24.9 and let in 28.6. Their recent games average 59.2 and 53.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Marshall Thundering Herd won 0 and App State Mountaineers won 1. The last one ended App State Mountaineers 26, Marshall Thundering Herd 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 64.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Marshall Thundering Herd shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Marshall Thundering Herd host App State Mountaineers in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 18:00 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 25.5 and Marshall Thundering Herd 28.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -305.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 530 points scored and 535 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

App State Mountaineers form

App State Mountaineers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 474 points scored and 544 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Marshall Thundering Herd won 0, App State Mountaineers won 1. Last time out it finished App State Mountaineers 26, Marshall Thundering Herd 24.

Our call

We expect App State Mountaineers to score about 25.5 points and Marshall Thundering Herd about 28.7. That points to Marshall Thundering Herd to win. Our safest bet is Under 64.5 points at -305. Our bold bet is App State to win at +147.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

MarshallApp State
Games played1819
Wins108
Losses811
Points scored530474
Points conceded535544
Scored per game29.424.9
Conceded per game29.728.6
Home record6W 3L5W 5L
Away record4W 5L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Marshall spreadCoversFair
Marshall -10.532%+209
Marshall -6.542%+139
Marshall -3.549%+103
Marshall -0.557%-131
Marshall +3.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
47.566%34%
51.557%43%
54.549%51%
57.542%58%
61.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Marshall +3.5 wins if Marshall win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Our prediction for App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project App State Mountaineers 25.5 and Marshall Thundering Herd 28.7. Our best bet is Under 64.5 points at -305.

What is the projected score for App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

We project App State Mountaineers 25.5 and Marshall Thundering Herd 28.7, about 54.1 points in total.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 530 points scored and 535 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are App State Mountaineers playing?

App State Mountaineers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 474 points scored and 544 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Marshall Thundering Herd and App State Mountaineers last met?

It ended App State Mountaineers 26, Marshall Thundering Herd 24. In the last 1 meeting Marshall Thundering Herd won 0 and App State Mountaineers won 1.

What is the best bet for App State Mountaineers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Under 64.5 points at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Marshall against App State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.