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Predictions › Argentina › Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia
Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 27 Oct, 22:00 Argentina time

Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction

Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos JuniorsHome
1.56 : 0.56
expected goals
Independiente RivadaviaAway
61%Argentinos
26%Draw
12%Ind. Rivadavia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Argentinos Juniors to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Argentinos Juniors 1.6, Independiente Rivadavia 0.6
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Argentinos Juniors 61%, the draw 26% and Independiente Rivadavia 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Argentinos Juniors took 8 points from their last 5 games and Independiente Rivadavia took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Argentinos Juniors won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Independiente Rivadavia won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Argentinos Juniors score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Independiente Rivadavia score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Argentinos Juniors games and 11 of Independiente Rivadavia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Argentinos Juniors won 0 and Independiente Rivadavia won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente Rivadavia 3, Argentinos Juniors 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ind. Rivadaviarecent form-1%
  • Argentinos rest between games-5%
  • Ind. Rivadaviarest between games-5%
Argentinos form D D W L DInd. Rivadavia form D L D W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia: Argentinos Juniors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Argentinos Juniors host Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 27 Oct, 22:00 at Diego Armando Maradona. Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Argentinos Juniors form

Argentinos Juniors have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

Independiente Rivadavia form

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Argentinos Juniors won 0, Independiente Rivadavia won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente Rivadavia 3, Argentinos Juniors 1.

Our call

We expect Argentinos Juniors to score about 1.6 goals and Independiente Rivadavia about 0.6. That points to Argentinos Juniors to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.5 at 3.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Argentinos Ind. Rivadavia
Games played2020
Wins117
Draws58
Losses45
Goals scored2528
Goals conceded1829
Scored per game1.31.4
Conceded per game0.91.4
Home record7W 2D 0L4W 4D 1L
Away record4W 3D 4L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.81
Over 3.5 goals16%6.06
Both teams to score34%2.91
Argentinos Juniors or Draw88%1.14
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw39%2.59
Argentinos Juniors to win and Over 2.529%3.50
Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.54%22.50
Argentinos Juniors clean sheet57%1.74
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet21%4.77

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-018.2%
2-014.7%
0-012.6%
1-111.1%
2-18.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Our prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia is Argentinos Juniors to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 0-0. We expect Argentinos Juniors to score 1.6 goals and Independiente Rivadavia 0.6.

Will both teams score in Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Argentinos Juniors last 20 games and 14 of Independiente Rivadavia last 20.

How are Argentinos Juniors playing?

Argentinos Juniors have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Independiente Rivadavia playing?

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Argentinos Juniors and Independiente Rivadavia last met?

It ended Independiente Rivadavia 3, Argentinos Juniors 1. In the last 1 meeting Argentinos Juniors won 0 and Independiente Rivadavia won 1.

What is the best bet for Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Argentinos against Ind. Rivadavia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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