EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Greece › Aris vs Atromitos
Greek Super LeagueSun 25 Oct, 17:30 Greece time

Aris vs Atromitos prediction

Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium

ArisHome
1.32 : 1.06
expected goals
AtromitosAway
42%Aris
29%Draw
29%Atromitos
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aris vs Atromitos is Aris to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Aris to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Aris 1.3, Atromitos 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aris 42%, the draw 29% and Atromitos 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aris took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atromitos took 2 from 5. Aris come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aris won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Atromitos won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aris score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Atromitos score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Aris games and 12 of Atromitos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Aris won 1 and Atromitos won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Aris 0, Atromitos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Arisrecent form-1%
  • Atromitosrecent form-3%
Aris form D D L L WAtromitos form D L D D LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aris vs Atromitos: Aris shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aris host Atromitos in the Greek Super League on Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 at Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium. Our prediction for Aris vs Atromitos is Aris to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Aris form

Aris have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Atromitos form

Atromitos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Aris won 1, Atromitos won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Aris 0, Atromitos 0.

Our call

We expect Aris to score about 1.3 goals and Atromitos about 1.1. That points to Aris to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ArisAtromitos
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws76
Losses48
Goals scored2631
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.21.2
Home record5W 4D 1L4W 3D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.35
Over 3.5 goals22%4.59
Both teams to score49%2.05
Aris or Draw71%1.41
Atromitos or Draw58%1.72
Aris to win and Over 2.522%4.49
Atromitos to win and Over 2.515%6.67
Aris clean sheet35%2.90
Atromitos clean sheet27%3.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%
1-011.4%
0-010.0%
0-19.0%
2-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aris vs Atromitos?

Our prediction for Aris vs Atromitos is Aris to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Aris vs Atromitos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Aris to score 1.3 goals and Atromitos 1.1.

Will both teams score in Aris vs Atromitos?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Aris last 20 games and 12 of Atromitos last 20.

How are Aris playing?

Aris have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Atromitos playing?

Atromitos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Aris and Atromitos last met?

It ended Aris 0, Atromitos 0. In the last 2 meetings Aris won 1 and Atromitos won 0.

What is the best bet for Aris vs Atromitos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aris against Atromitos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.