Predictions › Greece › Aris vs Iraklis

Greek Super LeagueSat 19 Sept, 16:30 Greece time

Aris vs Iraklis prediction

Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium

ArisHome

1.70 : 0.80

expected goals

IraklisAway

58%Aris

25%Draw

17%Iraklis

Eagle safe pickAris draw no bet

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aris vs Iraklis is Aris to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.25.

Prediction: Aris to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Aris 1.7, Iraklis 0.8
Best bet: Aris draw no bet at 1.25
Both teams to score: 46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aris draw no bet

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Aris to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Aris 58%, the draw 25% and Iraklis 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Aris took 12 points from their last 5 games and Iraklis took 5 from 4. Aris come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Aris won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Iraklis won 1 of their last 3 on the road.
4
Goals
Aris score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Iraklis score 1.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Aris games and 1 of Iraklis games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Aris draw no bet has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Arisrecent form+4%
Iraklisrest between games-5%

Aris form L W W W WIraklis form D W D L DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aris vs Iraklis: Aris are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aris host Iraklis in the Greek Super League on Sat 19 Sept, 16:30 at Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium. Our prediction for Aris vs Iraklis is Aris to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.25.

Aris form

Aris have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Iraklis form

Iraklis have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 4 games, with 4 goals scored and 6 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 4 results read D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Aris to score about 1.7 goals and Iraklis about 0.8. That points to Aris to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.25. Our bold bet is Aris to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Aris	Iraklis
Games played	20	4
Wins	8	1
Draws	8	2
Losses	4	1
Goals scored	26	4
Goals conceded	24	6
Scored per game	1.3	1.0
Conceded per game	1.2	1.5
Home record	4W 5D 1L	0W 1D 0L
Away record	4W 3D 3L	1W 1D 1L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.39
Over 2.5 goals	46%	2.19
Over 3.5 goals	24%	4.11
Both teams to score	46%	2.18
Aris or Draw	83%	1.20
Iraklis or Draw	42%	2.38
Aris to win and Over 2.5	33%	3.03
Iraklis to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.11
Aris clean sheet	45%	2.23
Iraklis clean sheet	18%	5.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.2%

1-111.8%

2-011.8%

2-19.5%

0-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aris vs Iraklis?

Our prediction for Aris vs Iraklis is Aris to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Aris vs Iraklis?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Aris to score 1.7 goals and Iraklis 0.8.

Will both teams score in Aris vs Iraklis?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Aris last 20 games and 2 of Iraklis last 4.

How are Aris playing?

How are Iraklis playing?

What is the best bet for Aris vs Iraklis?

Aris draw no bet at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aris against Iraklis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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