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Predictions › Greece › Aris vs Panetolikos
Greek Super LeagueSat 7 Nov, 17:30 Greece time

Aris vs Panetolikos prediction

Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium

ArisHome
1.82 : 0.70
expected goals
PanetolikosAway
64%Aris
23%Draw
13%Panetolikos
Eagle safe pickAris draw no bet
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aris vs Panetolikos is Aris to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.21.

Prediction
Aris to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Aris 1.8, Panetolikos 0.7
Best bet
Aris draw no bet at 1.21
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aris draw no bet
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Aris to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.831 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aris 64%, the draw 23% and Panetolikos 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aris took 10 points from their last 5 games and Panetolikos took 0 from 5. Aris come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aris won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Panetolikos won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aris score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Panetolikos score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Aris games and 9 of Panetolikos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Aris won 1 and Panetolikos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Panetolikos 0, Aris 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Aris draw no bet has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Arisrecent form+1%
  • Panetolikosrecent form-6%
Aris form D W W D LPanetolikos form D L L L LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aris vs Panetolikos: Aris are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aris host Panetolikos in the Greek Super League on Sat 7 Nov, 17:30 at Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium. Our prediction for Aris vs Panetolikos is Aris to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.21.

Aris form

Aris have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Aris won 1, Panetolikos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Panetolikos 0, Aris 1.

Our call

We expect Aris to score about 1.8 goals and Panetolikos about 0.7. That points to Aris to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.21. Our bold bet is Aris to win and Over 2.5 at 2.83.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ArisPanetolikos
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws66
Losses49
Goals scored3019
Goals conceded2629
Scored per game1.50.9
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record6W 3D 1L2W 3D 5L
Away record4W 3D 3L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score43%2.34
Aris or Draw87%1.15
Panetolikos or Draw36%2.74
Aris to win and Over 2.536%2.77
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.56%16.25
Aris clean sheet50%2.01
Panetolikos clean sheet16%6.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%
2-013.3%
1-110.9%
2-19.3%
0-08.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aris vs Panetolikos?

Our prediction for Aris vs Panetolikos is Aris to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Aris draw no bet at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Aris vs Panetolikos?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Aris to score 1.8 goals and Panetolikos 0.7.

Will both teams score in Aris vs Panetolikos?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Aris last 20 games and 10 of Panetolikos last 20.

How are Aris playing?

Aris have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Panetolikos playing?

Panetolikos have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Aris and Panetolikos last met?

It ended Panetolikos 0, Aris 1. In the last 1 meeting Aris won 1 and Panetolikos won 0.

What is the best bet for Aris vs Panetolikos?

Aris draw no bet at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aris against Panetolikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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