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Predictions › Greece › Aris vs Volos NFC
Greek Super LeagueSun 11 Oct, 16:00 Greece time

Aris vs Volos NFC prediction

Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium

ArisHome
1.93 : 0.84
expected goals
Volos NFCAway
63%Aris
23%Draw
15%Volos
Eagle safe pickAris or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aris vs Volos NFC is Aris to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Aris or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Aris to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Aris 1.9, Volos NFC 0.8
Best bet
Aris or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Aris or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Aris to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aris 63%, the draw 23% and Volos NFC 15%. The bookmakers agree and make Aris the favourite at 1.48.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aris took 7 points from their last 5 games and Volos NFC took 2 from 5. Aris come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aris won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Volos NFC won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aris score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.2. Volos NFC score 0.9 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Aris games and 10 of Volos NFC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Aris won 2 and Volos NFC won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Volos NFC 1, Aris 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Aris or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Volosrecent form-4%
Aris form D L L W WVolos form L L D D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aris vs Volos NFC: Aris are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aris host Volos NFC in the Greek Super League on Sun 11 Oct, 16:00 at Kleánthis Vikelídis Stadium. Our prediction for Aris vs Volos NFC is Aris to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Aris or Draw at 1.21.

Aris form

Aris have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Volos NFC form

Volos NFC have 1 win, 6 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Aris won 2, Volos NFC won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Volos NFC 1, Aris 2.

Our call

We expect Aris to score about 1.9 goals and Volos NFC about 0.8. That points to Aris to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Aris or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Aris to win and Over 2.5 at 2.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ArisVolos
Games played2020
Wins81
Draws86
Losses413
Goals scored2518
Goals conceded2440
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.22.0
Home record4W 5D 1L1W 6D 4L
Away record4W 3D 3L0W 0D 9L
Clean sheets35%0%
Both teams scored50%70%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Aris to win61%1.651.48-10.4%
A Draw22%4.514.30-4.7%
Volos NFC to win15%6.675.75-13.8%
Over 2.5 goals50%2.011.71-14.5%
Under 2.5 goals44%2.261.95-13.7%
Aris -1.538%2.642.20-16.7%
Volos NFC +1.556%1.771.54-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.32
Both teams to score49%2.04
Aris or Draw85%1.18
Volos NFC or Draw37%2.67
Aris to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Volos NFC to win and Over 2.58%12.34
Aris clean sheet43%2.31
Volos NFC clean sheet14%6.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.7%
1-011.5%
1-110.8%
2-19.8%
3-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aris vs Volos NFC?

Our prediction for Aris vs Volos NFC is Aris to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Aris or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Aris vs Volos NFC?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Aris to score 1.9 goals and Volos NFC 0.8.

Will both teams score in Aris vs Volos NFC?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Aris last 20 games and 14 of Volos NFC last 20.

How are Aris playing?

Aris have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Volos NFC playing?

Volos NFC have 1 win, 6 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 9 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Aris and Volos NFC last met?

It ended Volos NFC 1, Aris 2. In the last 3 meetings Aris won 2 and Volos NFC won 0.

What is the best bet for Aris vs Volos NFC?

Aris or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aris against Volos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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