PredictionsUnited StatesArizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
MLBTue 22 Sept, 20:40 United States time

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies prediction

Coors Field

Arizona DiamondbacksAway
6.1 : 5.1
projected runs
Colorado RockiesHome
63%Diamondbacks
37%Rockies
Eagle safe pickRockies +3.5
-270

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies is Arizona Diamondbacks to win, with a 63% chance. We project Arizona Diamondbacks 6.1 and Colorado Rockies 5.1. Our best bet is Rockies +3.5 at -270.

Prediction
Arizona Diamondbacks to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Arizona Diamondbacks 6, Colorado Rockies 5
Projected total
11.2 runs
Best bet
Rockies +3.5 at -270

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Rockies +3.5
73% chanceFair price -2701 unit

Eagle bold pick

Rockies to win
37% chanceFair price +1721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Rockies 37% and Arizona Diamondbacks 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Rockies won 0 of their last 5 and Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 of their last 5. Arizona Diamondbacks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Rockies won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Arizona Diamondbacks won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Rockies score 4.2 runs a game and let in 5.8. Arizona Diamondbacks score 3.5 and let in 4.0. Their recent games average 9.9 and 7.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Colorado Rockies won 2 and Arizona Diamondbacks won 3. The last one ended Arizona Diamondbacks 4, Colorado Rockies 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Rockies +3.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rockiesrest between games-5%
  • Diamondbacksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies: Arizona Diamondbacks are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Rockies host Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB on Tue 22 Sept, 20:40 at Coors Field. Our prediction for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies is Arizona Diamondbacks to win, with a 63% chance. We project Arizona Diamondbacks 6.1 and Colorado Rockies 5.1. Our best bet is Rockies +3.5 at -270.

Colorado Rockies form

Colorado Rockies have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 83 runs scored and 115 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Arizona Diamondbacks form

Arizona Diamondbacks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 runs scored and 81 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Colorado Rockies won 2, Arizona Diamondbacks won 3. Last time out it finished Arizona Diamondbacks 4, Colorado Rockies 6.

Our call

We expect Arizona Diamondbacks to score about 6.1 runs and Colorado Rockies about 5.1. That points to Arizona Diamondbacks to win. Our safest bet is Rockies +3.5 at -270. Our bold bet is Rockies to win at +172.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RockiesDiamondbacks
Games played2020
Wins511
Losses159
Runs scored8371
Runs conceded11581
Scored per game4.23.5
Conceded per game5.84.0
Home record3W 5L5W 5L
Away record2W 10L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockies spreadCoversFair
Rockies -0.536%+178
Rockies +0.545%+122
Rockies +1.555%-120
Rockies +2.564%-176
Rockies +3.572%-261
Total runsOverUnder
9.565%35%
10.556%44%
11.547%53%
12.538%62%
13.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockies +3.5 wins if Rockies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies?

Our prediction for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies is Arizona Diamondbacks to win, with a 63% chance. We project Arizona Diamondbacks 6.1 and Colorado Rockies 5.1. Our best bet is Rockies +3.5 at -270.

What is the projected score for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies?

We project Arizona Diamondbacks 6.1 and Colorado Rockies 5.1, about 11.2 runs in total.

How are Colorado Rockies playing?

Colorado Rockies have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 83 runs scored and 115 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Arizona Diamondbacks playing?

Arizona Diamondbacks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 runs scored and 81 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks last met?

It ended Arizona Diamondbacks 4, Colorado Rockies 6. In the last 5 meetings Colorado Rockies won 2 and Arizona Diamondbacks won 3.

What is the best bet for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies?

Rockies +3.5 at -270, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockies against Diamondbacks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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