Predictions › United States › Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction

Galaxy Stadium

Arizona State Sun DevilsAway
18.8 : 33.0
projected points
Texas Tech Red RaidersHome
21%Arizona St
79%Texas Tech
Eagle safe pickTexas Tech to win
-382

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 18.8 and Texas Tech Red Raiders 33.0. Our best bet is Texas Tech to win at -382.

Prediction
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Chance
79%
Projected score
Arizona State Sun Devils 19, Texas Tech Red Raiders 33
Projected total
51.8 points
Best bet
Texas Tech to win at -382

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas Tech to win
79% chanceFair price -3822 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas Tech Red Raiders 79% and Arizona State Sun Devils 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas Tech Red Raiders won 5 of their last 5 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 2 of their last 5. Texas Tech Red Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas Tech Red Raiders won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona State Sun Devils won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas Tech Red Raiders score 35.1 points a game and let in 13.2. Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.3 and let in 26.8. Their recent games average 48.4 and 54.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Texas Tech Red Raiders won 0 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 1. The last one ended Arizona State Sun Devils 26, Texas Tech Red Raiders 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Texas Tech to win has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders: Texas Tech Red Raiders are favourites

The big picture

Texas Tech Red Raiders host Arizona State Sun Devils in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 at Galaxy Stadium. Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 18.8 and Texas Tech Red Raiders 33.0. Our best bet is Texas Tech to win at -382.

Texas Tech Red Raiders form

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 597 points scored and 225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 410 points scored and 402 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Texas Tech Red Raiders won 0, Arizona State Sun Devils won 1. Last time out it finished Arizona State Sun Devils 26, Texas Tech Red Raiders 22.

Our call

We expect Arizona State Sun Devils to score about 18.8 points and Texas Tech Red Raiders about 33.0. That points to Texas Tech Red Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Texas Tech to win at -382.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Texas TechArizona St
Games played1715
Wins159
Losses26
Points scored597410
Points conceded225402
Scored per game35.127.3
Conceded per game13.226.8
Home record9W 1L5W 3L
Away record6W 1L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas Tech spreadCoversFair
Texas Tech -21.533%+208
Texas Tech -17.542%+138
Texas Tech -14.549%+103
Texas Tech -11.557%-132
Texas Tech -7.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
44.568%32%
48.558%42%
51.551%49%
54.543%57%
58.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas Tech +3.5 wins if Texas Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?

Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders is Texas Tech Red Raiders to win, with a 79% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 18.8 and Texas Tech Red Raiders 33.0. Our best bet is Texas Tech to win at -382.

What is the projected score for Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?

We project Arizona State Sun Devils 18.8 and Texas Tech Red Raiders 33.0, about 51.8 points in total.

How are Texas Tech Red Raiders playing?

Texas Tech Red Raiders have 15 wins and 2 losses in their last 17 games, with 597 points scored and 225 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 410 points scored and 402 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Texas Tech Red Raiders and Arizona State Sun Devils last met?

It ended Arizona State Sun Devils 26, Texas Tech Red Raiders 22. In the last 1 meeting Texas Tech Red Raiders won 0 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 1.

What is the best bet for Arizona State Sun Devils vs Texas Tech Red Raiders?

Texas Tech to win at -382, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas Tech against Arizona St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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