Predictions › United States › Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights prediction

Acrisure Bounce House

Arizona State Sun DevilsAway
24.7 : 34.8
projected points
UCF KnightsHome
25%Arizona St
75%UCF
Eagle safe pickUCF to win
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.

Prediction
UCF Knights to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Arizona State Sun Devils 25, UCF Knights 35
Projected total
59.5 points
Best bet
UCF to win at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UCF to win
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arizona St to win
25% chanceFair price +2941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UCF Knights 75% and Arizona State Sun Devils 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UCF Knights won 2 of their last 5 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UCF Knights won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona State Sun Devils won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UCF Knights score 24.7 points a game and let in 26.0. Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.0 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 50.7 and 53.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UCF to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights: UCF Knights are favourites

The big picture

UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Acrisure Bounce House. Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.

UCF Knights form

UCF Knights have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 445 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Arizona State Sun Devils form

Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 513 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arizona State Sun Devils to score about 24.7 points and UCF Knights about 34.8. That points to UCF Knights to win. Our safest bet is UCF to win at -305. Our bold bet is Arizona St to win at +294.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

UCFArizona St
Games played1819
Wins711
Losses118
Points scored445513
Points conceded468511
Scored per game24.727.0
Conceded per game26.026.9
Home record7W 3L7W 3L
Away record0W 8L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UCF spreadCoversFair
UCF -17.532%+210
UCF -13.542%+140
UCF -10.549%+104
UCF -7.557%-130
UCF -3.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
52.567%33%
56.557%43%
59.550%50%
62.543%57%
66.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCF +3.5 wins if UCF win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?

Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.

What is the projected score for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?

We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8, about 59.5 points in total.

How are UCF Knights playing?

UCF Knights have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 445 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?

Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 513 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?

UCF to win at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCF against Arizona St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.