Quick answer
Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.
- Prediction
- UCF Knights to win
- Chance
- 75%
- Projected score
- Arizona State Sun Devils 25, UCF Knights 35
- Projected total
- 59.5 points
- Best bet
- UCF to win at -305
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓Eagle safe pick
UCF to win
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡Eagle bold pick
Arizona St to win
25% chanceFair price +2941 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives UCF Knights 75% and Arizona State Sun Devils 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
- 2
Recent formUCF Knights won 2 of their last 5 and Arizona State Sun Devils won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
- 3
Home and awayUCF Knights won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona State Sun Devils won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringUCF Knights score 24.7 points a game and let in 26.0. Arizona State Sun Devils score 27.0 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 50.7 and 53.9 points in total.
- 5
The safest betUCF to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewArizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights: UCF Knights are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
UCF Knights host Arizona State Sun Devils in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Acrisure Bounce House. Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.
UCF Knights form
UCF Knights have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 445 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.
Arizona State Sun Devils form
Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 513 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.
Our call
We expect Arizona State Sun Devils to score about 24.7 points and UCF Knights about 34.8. That points to UCF Knights to win. Our safest bet is UCF to win at -305. Our bold bet is Arizona St to win at +294.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 19 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCF +3.5 wins if UCF win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?
Our prediction for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights is UCF Knights to win, with a 75% chance. We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8. Our best bet is UCF to win at -305.
What is the projected score for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?
We project Arizona State Sun Devils 24.7 and UCF Knights 34.8, about 59.5 points in total.
How are UCF Knights playing?
UCF Knights have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 445 points scored and 468 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.
How are Arizona State Sun Devils playing?
Arizona State Sun Devils have 11 wins and 8 losses in their last 19 games, with 513 points scored and 511 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.
What is the best bet for Arizona State Sun Devils vs UCF Knights?
UCF to win at -305, with a 75% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCF against Arizona St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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