Predictions › United States › Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Arizona WildcatsAway
31.5 : 30.1
projected points
Kansas State WildcatsHome
56%Arizona
44%Kansas St
Eagle safe pickKansas St +11.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Wildcats 31.5 and Kansas State Wildcats 30.1. Our best bet is Kansas St +11.5 at -295.

Prediction
Arizona Wildcats to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Arizona Wildcats 31, Kansas State Wildcats 30
Projected total
61.6 points
Best bet
Kansas St +11.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kansas St +11.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kansas St to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas State Wildcats 44% and Arizona Wildcats 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas State Wildcats won 1 of their last 5 and Arizona Wildcats won 4 of their last 5. Arizona Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas State Wildcats won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona Wildcats won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas State Wildcats score 30.8 points a game and let in 26.6. Arizona Wildcats score 31.5 and let in 21.1. Their recent games average 57.4 and 52.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kansas State Wildcats won 0 and Arizona Wildcats won 1. The last one ended Arizona Wildcats 23, Kansas State Wildcats 17.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kansas St +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats: Arizona Wildcats shade it

The big picture

Kansas State Wildcats host Arizona Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 00:00 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Our prediction for Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Wildcats 31.5 and Kansas State Wildcats 30.1. Our best bet is Kansas St +11.5 at -295.

Kansas State Wildcats form

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 555 points scored and 478 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Arizona Wildcats form

Arizona Wildcats have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 630 points scored and 421 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kansas State Wildcats won 0, Arizona Wildcats won 1. Last time out it finished Arizona Wildcats 23, Kansas State Wildcats 17.

Our call

We expect Arizona Wildcats to score about 31.5 points and Kansas State Wildcats about 30.1. That points to Arizona Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Kansas St +11.5 at -295. Our bold bet is Kansas St to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kansas StArizona
Games played1820
Wins914
Losses96
Points scored555630
Points conceded478421
Scored per game30.831.5
Conceded per game26.621.1
Home record7W 3L9W 1L
Away record2W 6L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kansas St spreadCoversFair
Kansas St -5.533%+200
Kansas St -1.543%+134
Kansas St +1.550%-101
Kansas St +4.558%-136
Kansas St +8.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
54.567%33%
58.558%42%
61.550%50%
64.543%57%
68.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas St +3.5 wins if Kansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats?

Our prediction for Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats is Arizona Wildcats to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Wildcats 31.5 and Kansas State Wildcats 30.1. Our best bet is Kansas St +11.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats?

We project Arizona Wildcats 31.5 and Kansas State Wildcats 30.1, about 61.6 points in total.

How are Kansas State Wildcats playing?

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 555 points scored and 478 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Arizona Wildcats playing?

Arizona Wildcats have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 630 points scored and 421 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Kansas State Wildcats and Arizona Wildcats last met?

It ended Arizona Wildcats 23, Kansas State Wildcats 17. In the last 1 meeting Kansas State Wildcats won 0 and Arizona Wildcats won 1.

What is the best bet for Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats?

Kansas St +11.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas St against Arizona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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