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College FootballSat 7 Nov, 12:45 United States time

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers prediction

Jordan-Hare Stadium

Arkansas RazorbacksAway
21.8 : 29.0
projected points
Auburn TigersHome
33%Arkansas
67%Auburn
Eagle safe pickArkansas +17.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Auburn Tigers 29.0. Our best bet is Arkansas +17.5 at -300.

Prediction
Auburn Tigers to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Arkansas Razorbacks 22, Auburn Tigers 29
Projected total
50.8 points
Best bet
Arkansas +17.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arkansas +17.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arkansas to win
31% chanceFair price +2211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Auburn Tigers 67% and Arkansas Razorbacks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Auburn Tigers won 2 of their last 5 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Auburn Tigers won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Auburn Tigers score 24.6 points a game and let in 22.9. Arkansas Razorbacks score 25.5 and let in 33.6. Their recent games average 47.6 and 59.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Auburn Tigers won 1 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 0. The last one ended Arkansas Razorbacks 24, Auburn Tigers 33.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arkansas +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers: Auburn Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Auburn Tigers host Arkansas Razorbacks in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 12:45 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Auburn Tigers 29.0. Our best bet is Arkansas +17.5 at -300.

Auburn Tigers form

Auburn Tigers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 419 points scored and 390 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 434 points scored and 572 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Auburn Tigers won 1, Arkansas Razorbacks won 0. Last time out it finished Arkansas Razorbacks 24, Auburn Tigers 33.

Our call

We expect Arkansas Razorbacks to score about 21.8 points and Auburn Tigers about 29.0. That points to Auburn Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Arkansas +17.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Arkansas to win at +221.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

AuburnArkansas
Games played1717
Wins73
Losses1014
Points scored419434
Points conceded390572
Scored per game24.625.5
Conceded per game22.933.6
Home record5W 6L2W 7L
Away record2W 4L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Auburn spreadCoversFair
Auburn -14.532%+209
Auburn -10.542%+139
Auburn -7.549%+103
Auburn -4.557%-131
Auburn -0.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Auburn +3.5 wins if Auburn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers?

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers is Auburn Tigers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Auburn Tigers 29.0. Our best bet is Arkansas +17.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers?

We project Arkansas Razorbacks 21.8 and Auburn Tigers 29.0, about 50.8 points in total.

How are Auburn Tigers playing?

Auburn Tigers have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 419 points scored and 390 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 14 losses in their last 17 games, with 434 points scored and 572 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Auburn Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks last met?

It ended Arkansas Razorbacks 24, Auburn Tigers 33. In the last 1 meeting Auburn Tigers won 1 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 0.

What is the best bet for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Auburn Tigers?

Arkansas +17.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Auburn against Arkansas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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