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College FootballSat 21 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns prediction

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Arkansas RazorbacksAway
18.6 : 33.4
projected points
Texas LonghornsHome
18%Arkansas
82%Texas
Eagle safe pickTexas to win
-467

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 82% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 18.6 and Texas Longhorns 33.4. Our best bet is Texas to win at -467.

Prediction
Texas Longhorns to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Arkansas Razorbacks 19, Texas Longhorns 33
Projected total
52.0 points
Best bet
Texas to win at -467

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas to win
82% chanceFair price -4672 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas Longhorns 82% and Arkansas Razorbacks 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas Longhorns won 3 of their last 5 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 5. Texas Longhorns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas Longhorns won 12 of their last 13 games at home. Arkansas Razorbacks won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas Longhorns score 31.6 points a game and let in 20.0. Arkansas Razorbacks score 24.6 and let in 33.3. Their recent games average 51.5 and 57.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Texas Longhorns won 1 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 0. The last one ended Texas Longhorns 52, Arkansas Razorbacks 37.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Texas to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns: Texas Longhorns are favourites

The big picture

Texas Longhorns host Arkansas Razorbacks in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 82% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 18.6 and Texas Longhorns 33.4. Our best bet is Texas to win at -467.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 631 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 467 points scored and 632 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Texas Longhorns won 1, Arkansas Razorbacks won 0. Last time out it finished Texas Longhorns 52, Arkansas Razorbacks 37.

Our call

We expect Arkansas Razorbacks to score about 18.6 points and Texas Longhorns about 33.4. That points to Texas Longhorns to win. Our safest bet is Texas to win at -467.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TexasArkansas
Games played2019
Wins163
Losses416
Points scored631467
Points conceded400632
Scored per game31.624.6
Conceded per game20.033.3
Home record12W 1L2W 8L
Away record4W 3L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas spreadCoversFair
Texas -21.534%+197
Texas -17.543%+132
Texas -14.551%-102
Texas -11.558%-138
Texas -7.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.556%44%
52.549%51%
55.541%59%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas +3.5 wins if Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns?

Our prediction for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 82% chance. We project Arkansas Razorbacks 18.6 and Texas Longhorns 33.4. Our best bet is Texas to win at -467.

What is the projected score for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns?

We project Arkansas Razorbacks 18.6 and Texas Longhorns 33.4, about 52.0 points in total.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 631 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 467 points scored and 632 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks last met?

It ended Texas Longhorns 52, Arkansas Razorbacks 37. In the last 1 meeting Texas Longhorns won 1 and Arkansas Razorbacks won 0.

What is the best bet for Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Longhorns?

Texas to win at -467, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas against Arkansas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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