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Predictions › United States › Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers prediction

Brooks Stadium (SC)

Arkansas State Red WolvesAway
24.0 : 26.8
projected points
Coastal Carolina ChanticleersHome
48%Arkansas St
52%Coastal
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers is Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 24.0 and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26.8. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -304.

Prediction
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Arkansas State Red Wolves 24, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 27
Projected total
50.8 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arkansas St to win
41% chanceFair price +1431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 52% and Arkansas State Red Wolves 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won 2 of their last 5 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 of their last 5. Arkansas State Red Wolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Coastal Carolina Chanticleers score 25.4 points a game and let in 30.7. Arkansas State Red Wolves score 26.4 and let in 26.0. Their recent games average 56.1 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers host Arkansas State Red Wolves in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 13:00 at Brooks Stadium (SC). Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers is Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 24.0 and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26.8. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -304.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers form

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 482 points scored and 583 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 501 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arkansas State Red Wolves to score about 24.0 points and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers about 26.8. That points to Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -304. Our bold bet is Arkansas St to win at +143.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

CoastalArkansas St
Games played1919
Wins810
Losses119
Points scored482501
Points conceded583494
Scored per game25.426.4
Conceded per game30.726.0
Home record4W 5L6W 4L
Away record4W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Coastal spreadCoversFair
Coastal -9.534%+196
Coastal -5.543%+131
Coastal -2.551%-103
Coastal +0.558%-139
Coastal +4.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.558%42%
50.551%49%
53.543%57%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Coastal +3.5 wins if Coastal win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers is Coastal Carolina Chanticleers to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 24.0 and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26.8. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 24.0 and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 26.8, about 50.8 points in total.

How are Coastal Carolina Chanticleers playing?

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have 8 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 482 points scored and 583 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 501 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers?

Over 40.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Coastal against Arkansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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