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Predictions › United States › Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction

Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium

Arkansas State Red WolvesAway
20.4 : 27.5
projected points
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsHome
30%Arkansas St
70%Louisiana
Eagle safe pickLouisiana to win
-250

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 70% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 20.4 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 27.5. Our best bet is Louisiana to win at -250.

Prediction
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Arkansas State Red Wolves 20, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 28
Projected total
47.9 points
Best bet
Louisiana to win at -250

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Louisiana to win
70% chancePrice -2501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 70% and Arkansas State Red Wolves 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns the favourite at -250.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 3 of their last 5 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 5 of their last 6 games at home. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns score 27.7 points a game and let in 28.9. Arkansas State Red Wolves score 24.7 and let in 24.7. Their recent games average 56.5 and 49.4 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 1 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0. The last one ended Arkansas State Red Wolves 30, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Louisiana to win has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Louisianarest between games-5%
  • Arkansas Strest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns host Arkansas State Red Wolves in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 20:00 at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 70% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 20.4 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 27.5. Our best bet is Louisiana to win at -250.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns form

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 371 points scored and 370 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 1, Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0. Last time out it finished Arkansas State Red Wolves 30, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 34.

Our call

We expect Arkansas State Red Wolves to score about 20.4 points and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns about 27.5. That points to Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win. Our safest bet is Louisiana to win at -250.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

LouisianaArkansas St
Games played1515
Wins88
Losses77
Points scored415371
Points conceded433370
Scored per game27.724.7
Conceded per game28.924.7
Home record5W 1L5W 3L
Away record3W 6L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Louisiana to win70%-229-250-2.6%
Arkansas St to win30%+231+205-7.8%
Louisiana -6.548%+106-115-9.4%
Arkansas St +6.545%+121-105-11.6%
Over 47.5 points48%+109-105-6.6%
Under 47.5 points46%+118-115-14.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Louisiana spreadCoversFair
Louisiana -14.532%+210
Louisiana -10.542%+140
Louisiana -7.549%+104
Louisiana -4.557%-130
Louisiana -0.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
40.568%32%
44.558%42%
47.551%49%
50.544%56%
54.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Louisiana +3.5 wins if Louisiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 70% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 20.4 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 27.5. Our best bet is Louisiana to win at -250.

What is the projected score for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 20.4 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 27.5, about 47.9 points in total.

How are Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns playing?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 415 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 371 points scored and 370 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and Arkansas State Red Wolves last met?

It ended Arkansas State Red Wolves 30, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 34. In the last 1 meeting Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 1 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0.

What is the best bet for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

Louisiana to win at -250, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Louisiana against Arkansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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