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Predictions › United States › Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction

Joe Aillet Stadium

Arkansas State Red WolvesAway
18.5 : 31.8
projected points
Louisiana Tech BulldogsHome
20%Arkansas St
80%Louisiana Tech
Eagle safe pickLouisiana Tech to win
-398

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 18.5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31.8. Our best bet is Louisiana Tech to win at -398.

Prediction
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Arkansas State Red Wolves 18, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 32
Projected total
50.3 points
Best bet
Louisiana Tech to win at -398

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Louisiana Tech to win
80% chanceFair price -3982 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 80% and Arkansas State Red Wolves 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 5 of their last 5 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 2 of their last 5. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 31.3 points a game and let in 21.6. Arkansas State Red Wolves score 25.9 and let in 25.6. Their recent games average 52.9 and 51.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Louisiana Tech to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs host Arkansas State Red Wolves in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at Joe Aillet Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 18.5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31.8. Our best bet is Louisiana Tech to win at -398.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs form

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 626 points scored and 431 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 518 points scored and 513 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arkansas State Red Wolves to score about 18.5 points and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs about 31.8. That points to Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Louisiana Tech to win at -398.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Louisiana TechArkansas St
Games played2020
Wins1410
Losses610
Points scored626518
Points conceded431513
Scored per game31.325.9
Conceded per game21.625.6
Home record9W 1L6W 5L
Away record5W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Louisiana Tech spreadCoversFair
Louisiana Tech -20.533%+206
Louisiana Tech -16.542%+138
Louisiana Tech -13.550%+102
Louisiana Tech -10.557%-132
Louisiana Tech -6.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
43.566%34%
47.557%43%
50.549%51%
53.542%58%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Louisiana Tech +3.5 wins if Louisiana Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 18.5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31.8. Our best bet is Louisiana Tech to win at -398.

What is the projected score for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 18.5 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31.8, about 50.3 points in total.

How are Louisiana Tech Bulldogs playing?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 626 points scored and 431 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 518 points scored and 513 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

Louisiana Tech to win at -398, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Louisiana Tech against Arkansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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