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Predictions › United States › Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

M. M. Roberts Stadium

Arkansas State Red WolvesAway
22.6 : 29.2
projected points
Southern Miss Golden EaglesHome
33%Arkansas St
67%Southern Miss
Eagle safe pickOver 41.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 22.6 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

Prediction
Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Arkansas State Red Wolves 23, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29
Projected total
51.9 points
Best bet
Over 41.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 41.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arkansas St to win
33% chanceFair price +2061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles 67% and Arkansas State Red Wolves 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 2 of their last 5. Arkansas State Red Wolves come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Arkansas State Red Wolves won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 28.2 points a game and let in 29.7. Arkansas State Red Wolves score 24.4 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 57.9 and 49.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0. The last one ended Arkansas State Red Wolves 21, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 41.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Southern Missrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Southern Miss Golden Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Southern Miss Golden Eagles host Arkansas State Red Wolves in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 22.6 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles form

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 451 points scored and 475 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 391 points scored and 393 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1, Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0. Last time out it finished Arkansas State Red Wolves 21, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27.

Our call

We expect Arkansas State Red Wolves to score about 22.6 points and Southern Miss Golden Eagles about 29.2. That points to Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win. Our safest bet is Over 41.5 points at -300. Our bold bet is Arkansas St to win at +206.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

Southern MissArkansas St
Games played1616
Wins78
Losses98
Points scored451391
Points conceded475393
Scored per game28.224.4
Conceded per game29.724.6
Home record4W 4L5W 3L
Away record3W 5L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Southern Miss spreadCoversFair
Southern Miss -13.533%+201
Southern Miss -9.543%+134
Southern Miss -6.550%-101
Southern Miss -3.558%-136
Southern Miss +0.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
44.568%32%
48.558%42%
51.551%49%
54.543%57%
58.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Southern Miss +3.5 wins if Southern Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Our prediction for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles is Southern Miss Golden Eagles to win, with a 67% chance. We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 22.6 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

We project Arkansas State Red Wolves 22.6 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 29.2, about 51.9 points in total.

How are Southern Miss Golden Eagles playing?

Southern Miss Golden Eagles have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 451 points scored and 475 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 8 losses in their last 16 games, with 391 points scored and 393 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Arkansas State Red Wolves last met?

It ended Arkansas State Red Wolves 21, Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27. In the last 1 meeting Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 and Arkansas State Red Wolves won 0.

What is the best bet for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles?

Over 41.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Southern Miss against Arkansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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