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Predictions › Germany › Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2. BundesligaSun 20 Sept, 11:30 Germany time

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 prediction

SchücoArena

Arminia BielefeldHome
2.00 : 1.11
expected goals
1. FC Heidenheim 1846Away
58%Bielefeld
23%Draw
20%Heidenheim
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Arminia Bielefeld to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Arminia Bielefeld 2.0, 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arminia Bielefeld 58%, the draw 23% and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arminia Bielefeld took 4 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 9 from 5. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arminia Bielefeld won 4 of their last 9 games at home. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Arminia Bielefeld score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 score 1.8 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Arminia Bielefeld games and 13 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bielefeldrecent form-3%
  • Heidenheimrecent form+1%
  • Bielefeldrest between games-5%
Bielefeld form L D L L WHeidenheim form W W L L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Arminia Bielefeld are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arminia Bielefeld host 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sept, 11:30 at SchücoArena. Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Arminia Bielefeld form

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arminia Bielefeld to score about 2.0 goals and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 about 1.1. That points to Arminia Bielefeld to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.5 at 2.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BielefeldHeidenheim
Games played2020
Wins66
Draws54
Losses910
Goals scored3235
Goals conceded3443
Scored per game1.61.8
Conceded per game1.72.1
Home record4W 4D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 1D 8L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.66
Over 3.5 goals38%2.65
Both teams to score59%1.71
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw80%1.25
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or Draw42%2.36
Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.540%2.48
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.513%7.80
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet33%3.03
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 clean sheet13%7.42

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-08.9%
1-08.3%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Arminia Bielefeld to score 2.0 goals and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.1.

Will both teams score in Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Arminia Bielefeld last 20 games and 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 last 20.

How are Arminia Bielefeld playing?

Arminia Bielefeld have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 playing?

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 43 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Heidenheim 1846?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bielefeld against Heidenheim. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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