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Predictions › Germany › Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg
2. BundesligaFri 20 Nov, 17:30 Germany time

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction

SchücoArena

Arminia BielefeldHome
1.71 : 1.38
expected goals
1. FC MagdeburgAway
45%Bielefeld
25%Draw
30%Magdeburg
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Arminia Bielefeld to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Arminia Bielefeld 1.7, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arminia Bielefeld 45%, the draw 25% and 1. FC Magdeburg 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arminia Bielefeld took 12 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Magdeburg took 10 from 5. Arminia Bielefeld come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arminia Bielefeld won 5 of their last 10 games at home. 1. FC Magdeburg won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Arminia Bielefeld score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Arminia Bielefeld games and 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 2 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended 1. FC Magdeburg 0, Arminia Bielefeld 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bielefeldrecent form+4%
  • Magdeburgrest between games-2%
Bielefeld form W W L W WMagdeburg form W D L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Arminia Bielefeld shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arminia Bielefeld host 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 20 Nov, 17:30 at SchücoArena. Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Arminia Bielefeld form

Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

1. FC Magdeburg form

1. FC Magdeburg have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Arminia Bielefeld won 2, 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Magdeburg 0, Arminia Bielefeld 2.

Our call

We expect Arminia Bielefeld to score about 1.7 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg about 1.4. That points to Arminia Bielefeld to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BielefeldMagdeburg
Games played2020
Wins811
Draws53
Losses76
Goals scored3542
Goals conceded3324
Scored per game1.82.1
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record5W 5D 0L8W 1D 2L
Away record3W 0D 7L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored80%55%
Over 2.5 goals75%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Arminia Bielefeld to win43%2.352.20-6.2%
A Draw24%4.133.50-15.2%
1. FC Magdeburg to win30%3.322.90-12.7%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.901.59-16.5%
Under 2.5 goals40%2.472.15-13.0%
Arminia Bielefeld -0.542%2.392.10-12.0%
1. FC Magdeburg +0.551%1.951.61-17.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score62%1.61
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw70%1.44
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw55%1.81
Arminia Bielefeld to win and Over 2.531%3.23
1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.521%4.88
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet25%3.98
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet18%5.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.2%
1-27.4%
1-07.1%
2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Our prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg is Arminia Bielefeld to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Arminia Bielefeld to score 1.7 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg 1.4.

Will both teams score in Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Arminia Bielefeld last 20 games and 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg last 20.

How are Arminia Bielefeld playing?

Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are 1. FC Magdeburg playing?

1. FC Magdeburg have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Arminia Bielefeld and 1. FC Magdeburg last met?

It ended 1. FC Magdeburg 0, Arminia Bielefeld 2. In the last 2 meetings Arminia Bielefeld won 2 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 0.

What is the best bet for Arminia Bielefeld vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bielefeld against Magdeburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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