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Predictions › United States › Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction

Joe Aillet Stadium

Army Black KnightsAway
25.3 : 21.8
projected points
Louisiana Tech BulldogsHome
63%Army
37%Louisiana Tech
Eagle safe pickOver 36.5 points
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Army Black Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Army Black Knights 25.3 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.8. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Prediction
Army Black Knights to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Army Black Knights 25, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 22
Projected total
47.1 points
Best bet
Over 36.5 points at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 37% and Army Black Knights 63%. The bookmakers agree and make Army Black Knights the favourite at -170.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5 and Army Black Knights won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Army Black Knights won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Louisiana Tech Bulldogs score 31.2 points a game and let in 23.9. Army Black Knights score 25.9 and let in 19.9. Their recent games average 55.1 and 45.8 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 36.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Armyrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: Army Black Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs host Army Black Knights in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:30 at Joe Aillet Stadium. Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Army Black Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Army Black Knights 25.3 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.8. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs form

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 437 points scored and 334 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Army Black Knights form

Army Black Knights have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 363 points scored and 278 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Army Black Knights to score about 25.3 points and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs about 21.8. That points to Army Black Knights to win. Our safest bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

Louisiana TechArmy
Games played1414
Wins88
Losses66
Points scored437363
Points conceded334278
Scored per game31.225.9
Conceded per game23.919.9
Home record6W 1L4W 3L
Away record2W 5L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Louisiana Tech to win37%+169+142-10.1%
Army to win57%-132-170-9.6%
Louisiana Tech +3.547%+112-118-13.1%
Army -3.547%+114-102-7.6%
Over 46.5 points48%+107-110-7.7%
Under 46.5 points45%+120-110-13.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Louisiana Tech spreadCoversFair
Louisiana Tech -3.533%+201
Louisiana Tech +0.543%+134
Louisiana Tech +3.550%-101
Louisiana Tech +6.558%-136
Louisiana Tech +10.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
40.566%34%
44.556%44%
47.549%51%
50.542%58%
54.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Louisiana Tech +3.5 wins if Louisiana Tech win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is Army Black Knights to win, with a 63% chance. We project Army Black Knights 25.3 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.8. Our best bet is Over 36.5 points at -301.

What is the projected score for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

We project Army Black Knights 25.3 and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 21.8, about 47.1 points in total.

How are Louisiana Tech Bulldogs playing?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 437 points scored and 334 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Army Black Knights playing?

Army Black Knights have 8 wins and 6 losses in their last 14 games, with 363 points scored and 278 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?

Over 36.5 points at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Louisiana Tech against Army. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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