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Predictions › United States › Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers prediction

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Army Black KnightsAway
22.3 : 29.6
projected points
Memphis TigersHome
32%Army
68%Memphis
Eagle safe pickOver 41.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Army Black Knights 22.3 and Memphis Tigers 29.6. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

Prediction
Memphis Tigers to win
Chance
68%
Projected score
Army Black Knights 22, Memphis Tigers 30
Projected total
51.9 points
Best bet
Over 41.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 41.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Army to win
31% chanceFair price +2231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Tigers 68% and Army Black Knights 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Army Black Knights won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Tigers won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Army Black Knights won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Tigers score 32.6 points a game and let in 23.9. Army Black Knights score 27.5 and let in 20.6. Their recent games average 56.6 and 48.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 41.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers: Memphis Tigers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Tigers host Army Black Knights in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Army Black Knights 22.3 and Memphis Tigers 29.6. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 587 points scored and 431 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Army Black Knights form

Army Black Knights have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 468 points scored and 350 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Army Black Knights to score about 22.3 points and Memphis Tigers about 29.6. That points to Memphis Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Over 41.5 points at -300. Our bold bet is Army to win at +223.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

MemphisArmy
Games played1817
Wins1110
Losses77
Points scored587468
Points conceded431350
Scored per game32.627.5
Conceded per game23.920.6
Home record6W 2L6W 3L
Away record5W 5L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Memphis spreadCoversFair
Memphis -14.533%+206
Memphis -10.542%+137
Memphis -7.550%+102
Memphis -4.557%-132
Memphis -0.566%-198
Total pointsOverUnder
44.568%32%
48.558%42%
51.551%49%
54.543%57%
58.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Memphis +3.5 wins if Memphis win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers?

Our prediction for Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 68% chance. We project Army Black Knights 22.3 and Memphis Tigers 29.6. Our best bet is Over 41.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers?

We project Army Black Knights 22.3 and Memphis Tigers 29.6, about 51.9 points in total.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 587 points scored and 431 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Army Black Knights playing?

Army Black Knights have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 468 points scored and 350 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Army Black Knights vs Memphis Tigers?

Over 41.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Memphis against Army. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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