Predictions › United Kingdom › Arsenal vs Everton

Premier LeagueSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Arsenal vs Everton prediction

Emirates Stadium

ArsenalHome

1.86 : 0.73

expected goals

EvertonAway

64%Arsenal

23%Draw

13%Everton

Eagle safe pickArsenal or Draw

2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Everton is Arsenal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 2/11.

Prediction: Arsenal to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Arsenal 1.9, Everton 0.7
Best bet: Arsenal or Draw at 2/11
Both teams to score: 44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Arsenal or Draw

85% chanceFair price 2/112 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arsenal to win and Over 2.5

37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Arsenal 64%, the draw 23% and Everton 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 4/11.
2
Recent form
Arsenal took 12 points from their last 5 games and Everton took 9 from 5. Arsenal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Arsenal won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Everton won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Arsenal score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.7. Everton score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Arsenal games and 11 of Everton games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 2 and Everton won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Arsenal 2, Everton 0.
6
The safest bet
Arsenal or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Arsenalrecent form+3%
Evertonrecent form+3%
Arsenalrest between games-5%
Arsenalteam news-3%

Arsenal form D W L W WEverton form D W W D DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arsenal vs Everton: Arsenal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arsenal host Everton in the Premier League on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Emirates Stadium. Our prediction for Arsenal vs Everton is Arsenal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 2/11.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Everton form

Everton have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Arsenal won 2, Everton won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Arsenal 2, Everton 0.

Our call

We expect Arsenal to score about 1.9 goals and Everton about 0.7. That points to Arsenal to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Arsenal or Draw at 2/11. Our bold bet is Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Arsenal	Everton
Games played	20	20
Wins	14	7
Draws	3	7
Losses	3	6
Goals scored	31	31
Goals conceded	14	25
Scored per game	1.6	1.6
Conceded per game	0.7	1.3
Home record	8W 1D 1L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	6W 2D 2L	2W 5D 3L
Clean sheets	55%	35%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Arsenal to win	61%	8/13	4/11	-15.5%
A Draw	22%	7/2	7/2	-2.7%
Everton to win	13%	13/2	15/2	+13.7%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	21/20	4/5	-13.8%
Under 2.5 goals	47%	11/10	10/11	-8.1%
Arsenal -1.5	43%	11/8	Evens	-14.0%
Everton +1.5	53%	10/11	4/6	-12.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	4/11
Over 2.5 goals	48%	11/10
Over 3.5 goals	26%	11/4
Both teams to score	44%	5/4
Arsenal or Draw	87%	2/13
Everton or Draw	36%	7/4
Arsenal to win and Over 2.5	37%	13/8
Everton to win and Over 2.5	7%	14/1
Arsenal clean sheet	48%	11/10
Everton clean sheet	16%	11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.3%

2-012.9%

1-110.8%

2-19.5%

0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Eberechi Eze Embraces Competition For Places At Arsenal

Eberechi Eze scored in Arsenal's 3-0 win against Lille and spoke about fighting for his spot in Mikel Arteta's squad.

5 hours ago

Premier League

Arteta Responds to Double Injury Blow Following Leeds Victory

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta defended his training methods after Piero Hincapie and Martin Zubimendi picked up ankle injuries after beating Leeds.

12 Oct 2026

Premier League

Riccardo Calafiori Makes Boot History in Arsenal Win

Riccardo Calafiori scored in special David Beckham boots as Arsenal came from behind to defeat Leeds United at Emirates Stadium.

10 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Everton is Arsenal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Arsenal or Draw at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Everton?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Arsenal to score 1.9 goals and Everton 0.7.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Everton?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Arsenal last 20 games and 10 of Everton last 20.

How are Arsenal playing?

How are Everton playing?

What happened when Arsenal and Everton last met?

It ended Arsenal 2, Everton 0. In the last 2 meetings Arsenal won 2 and Everton won 0.

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal or Draw at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arsenal against Everton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.