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Predictions › France › AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO
Ligue 2Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 France time

AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO prediction

Stade Marcel-Picot

AS Nancy LorraineHome
1.65 : 1.24
expected goals
Dijon FCOAway
46%Nancy
26%Draw
28%Dijon FCO
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO is AS Nancy Lorraine to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
AS Nancy Lorraine to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AS Nancy Lorraine 1.6, Dijon FCO 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dijon FCO to win
28% chancePrice 3.80+4.7% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AS Nancy Lorraine 46%, the draw 26% and Dijon FCO 28%. The bookmakers agree and make AS Nancy Lorraine the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AS Nancy Lorraine took 15 points from their last 5 games and Dijon FCO took 9 from 5. AS Nancy Lorraine come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AS Nancy Lorraine won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Dijon FCO won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AS Nancy Lorraine score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Dijon FCO score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of AS Nancy Lorraine games and 7 of Dijon FCO games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nancyrecent form+7%
  • Dijon FCOrecent form+1%
Nancy form W W W W WDijon FCO form W W L L WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO: AS Nancy Lorraine are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AS Nancy Lorraine host Dijon FCO in the Ligue 2 on Fri 20 Nov, 19:00 at Stade Marcel-Picot. Our prediction for AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO is AS Nancy Lorraine to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

AS Nancy Lorraine form

AS Nancy Lorraine have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Dijon FCO form

Dijon FCO have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect AS Nancy Lorraine to score about 1.6 goals and Dijon FCO about 1.2. That points to AS Nancy Lorraine to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Dijon FCO to win at 3.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NancyDijon FCO
Games played2012
Wins105
Draws53
Losses54
Goals scored3021
Goals conceded2519
Scored per game1.51.8
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record5W 1D 4L3W 0D 3L
Away record5W 4D 1L2W 3D 1L
Clean sheets35%8%
Both teams scored55%83%
Over 2.5 goals45%58%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
AS Nancy Lorraine to win44%2.281.83-19.6%
A Draw25%3.993.75-6.1%
Dijon FCO to win28%3.633.80+4.7%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.941.61-17.4%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.402.15-10.4%
AS Nancy Lorraine -0.547%2.141.74-18.8%
Dijon FCO +0.546%2.151.87-13.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%3.05
Both teams to score58%1.72
AS Nancy Lorraine or Draw72%1.39
Dijon FCO or Draw54%1.86
AS Nancy Lorraine to win and Over 2.530%3.30
Dijon FCO to win and Over 2.518%5.69
AS Nancy Lorraine clean sheet29%3.45
Dijon FCO clean sheet19%5.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
2-19.4%
1-08.5%
2-07.6%
1-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO?

Our prediction for AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO is AS Nancy Lorraine to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AS Nancy Lorraine to score 1.6 goals and Dijon FCO 1.2.

Will both teams score in AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of AS Nancy Lorraine last 20 games and 10 of Dijon FCO last 12.

How are AS Nancy Lorraine playing?

AS Nancy Lorraine have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Dijon FCO playing?

Dijon FCO have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 12 games, with 21 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for AS Nancy Lorraine vs Dijon FCO?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nancy against Dijon FCO. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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