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Predictions › Greece › Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata
Greek Super LeagueSun 8 Nov, 15:00 Greece time

Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata prediction

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras TripoliHome
1.46 : 1.08
expected goals
KalamataAway
45%Asteras Trip
28%Draw
27%Kalamata
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Asteras Tripoli to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Asteras Tripoli 1.5, Kalamata 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Asteras Tripoli 45%, the draw 28% and Kalamata 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Asteras Tripoli took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kalamata took 9 from 5. Kalamata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Asteras Tripoli won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Kalamata won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Asteras Tripoli score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Kalamata score 1.6 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Asteras Tripoli games and 5 of Kalamata games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Kalamatarecent form+3%
Asteras Trip form D L W D DKalamata form D W W L WHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata: Asteras Tripoli are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Asteras Tripoli host Kalamata in the Greek Super League on Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Asteras Tripoli form

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Kalamata form

Kalamata have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Asteras Tripoli to score about 1.5 goals and Kalamata about 1.1. That points to Asteras Tripoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5 at 3.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Asteras TripKalamata
Games played208
Wins63
Draws81
Losses64
Goals scored2313
Goals conceded2617
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.32.1
Home record5W 3D 3L2W 0D 2L
Away record1W 5D 3L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored65%63%
Over 2.5 goals50%63%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.96
Both teams to score52%1.94
Asteras Tripoli or Draw73%1.37
Kalamata or Draw55%1.82
Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.526%3.85
Kalamata to win and Over 2.515%6.70
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet34%2.95
Kalamata clean sheet23%4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-010.7%
2-19.1%
0-08.6%
2-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata?

Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Asteras Tripoli to score 1.5 goals and Kalamata 1.1.

Will both teams score in Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Asteras Tripoli last 20 games and 5 of Kalamata last 8.

How are Asteras Tripoli playing?

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Kalamata playing?

Kalamata have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 8 games, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Asteras Tripoli vs Kalamata?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Asteras Trip against Kalamata. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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