Predictions › Greece › Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos

Greek Super LeagueSat 24 Oct, 16:30 Greece time

Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos prediction

Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras TripoliHome

1.49 : 0.99

expected goals

LevadiakosAway

48%Asteras Trip

28%Draw

24%Levadiakos

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction: Asteras Tripoli to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Asteras Tripoli 1.5, Levadiakos 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score: 49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Asteras Tripoli 48%, the draw 28% and Levadiakos 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Asteras Tripoli took 5 points from their last 5 games and Levadiakos took 1 from 5. Asteras Tripoli come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Asteras Tripoli won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Levadiakos won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Asteras Tripoli score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Levadiakos score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Asteras Tripoli games and 10 of Levadiakos games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Asteras Tripoli won 0 and Levadiakos won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Levadiakos 3, Asteras Tripoli 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Asteras Triprecent form-3%
Levadiakosrecent form-4%

Asteras Trip form D D D L LLevadiakos form D L D L LHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos: Asteras Tripoli are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Asteras Tripoli host Levadiakos in the Greek Super League on Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium. Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Asteras Tripoli form

Asteras Tripoli have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Asteras Tripoli won 0, Levadiakos won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Levadiakos 3, Asteras Tripoli 1.

Our call

We expect Asteras Tripoli to score about 1.5 goals and Levadiakos about 1.0. That points to Asteras Tripoli to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5 at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Asteras Trip	Levadiakos
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	5
Draws	7	3
Losses	7	12
Goals scored	22	19
Goals conceded	24	37
Scored per game	1.1	0.9
Conceded per game	1.2	1.9
Home record	5W 2D 4L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	1W 5D 3L	1W 1D 8L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	30%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	72%	1.40
Over 2.5 goals	45%	2.22
Over 3.5 goals	24%	4.20
Both teams to score	49%	2.03
Asteras Tripoli or Draw	76%	1.32
Levadiakos or Draw	52%	1.93
Asteras Tripoli to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.69
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.90
Asteras Tripoli clean sheet	37%	2.68
Levadiakos clean sheet	22%	4.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%

1-011.8%

2-09.3%

2-19.2%

0-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos?

Our prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos is Asteras Tripoli to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Asteras Tripoli to score 1.5 goals and Levadiakos 1.0.

Will both teams score in Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Asteras Tripoli last 20 games and 6 of Levadiakos last 20.

How are Asteras Tripoli playing?

How are Levadiakos playing?

What happened when Asteras Tripoli and Levadiakos last met?

It ended Levadiakos 3, Asteras Tripoli 1. In the last 2 meetings Asteras Tripoli won 0 and Levadiakos won 1.

What is the best bet for Asteras Tripoli vs Levadiakos?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Asteras Trip against Levadiakos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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