Predictions › United Kingdom › Aston Villa vs Fulham

Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Aston Villa vs Fulham prediction

Villa Park

Aston VillaHome

1.58 : 1.12

expected goals

FulhamAway

47%Aston Villa

26%Draw

26%Fulham

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Fulham is Aston Villa to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Aston Villa to win
Chance: 47%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.6, Fulham 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Aston Villa to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Aston Villa 47%, the draw 26% and Fulham 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Aston Villa the favourite at 21/20.
2
Recent form
Aston Villa took 13 points from their last 5 games and Fulham took 8 from 5. Aston Villa come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Aston Villa won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Fulham won 1 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Aston Villa score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fulham score 1.0 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Aston Villa games and 7 of Fulham games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 1 and Fulham won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fulham 1, Aston Villa 0.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Aston Villarecent form+4%
Aston Villarest between games-5%

Aston Villa form D W W D WFulham form D L D W DHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aston Villa vs Fulham: Aston Villa are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aston Villa host Fulham in the Premier League on Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 at Villa Park. Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Fulham is Aston Villa to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Aston Villa form

Aston Villa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Fulham form

Fulham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Aston Villa won 1, Fulham won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fulham 1, Aston Villa 0.

Our call

We expect Aston Villa to score about 1.6 goals and Fulham about 1.1. That points to Aston Villa to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Aston Villa to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Aston Villa	Fulham
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	6
Draws	3	5
Losses	6	9
Goals scored	42	20
Goals conceded	27	22
Scored per game	2.1	1.0
Conceded per game	1.4	1.1
Home record	5W 1D 3L	5W 1D 5L
Away record	6W 2D 3L	1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	55%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Aston Villa to win	46%	6/5	21/20	-5.3%
A Draw	25%	3/1	5/2	-9.8%
Fulham to win	25%	3/1	12/5	-15.4%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	Evens	8/11	-14.7%
Under 2.5 goals	46%	6/5	Evens	-7.9%
Aston Villa -0.5	46%	6/5	10/11	-11.9%
Fulham +0.5	50%	Evens	8/11	-14.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1/3
Over 2.5 goals	51%	Evens
Over 3.5 goals	29%	5/2
Both teams to score	54%	5/6
Aston Villa or Draw	74%	4/11
Fulham or Draw	53%	10/11
Aston Villa to win and Over 2.5	29%	12/5
Fulham to win and Over 2.5	15%	11/2
Aston Villa clean sheet	33%	85/40
Fulham clean sheet	21%	4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

1-09.9%

2-19.4%

2-08.4%

0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Unai Emery rescues the historic Spanish club close to his heart

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery and his family stepped in to save Real Union, a historic Spanish club with deep family roots.

2 Oct 2026

Premier League

Fulham Boss Álvaro Arbeloa Charged By FA After Manchester United Draw

Fulham manager Álvaro Arbeloa faces an FA misconduct charge for claiming officials would not let Manchester United lose.

30 Sept 2026

Premier League

Yobo Backs Iwobi to Set New Nigeria Appearance Record

Former captain Joseph Yobo believes Fulham midfielder Alex Iwobi can reach 130 caps for Nigeria and break the all-time appearance record.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Fulham is Aston Villa to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Aston Villa vs Fulham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Aston Villa to score 1.6 goals and Fulham 1.1.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Aston Villa last 20 games and 7 of Fulham last 20.

How are Aston Villa playing?

How are Fulham playing?

What happened when Aston Villa and Fulham last met?

It ended Fulham 1, Aston Villa 0. In the last 2 meetings Aston Villa won 1 and Fulham won 1.

What is the best bet for Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aston Villa against Fulham. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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