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Predictions › Champions League › Aston Villa vs Viking FK
Champions LeagueWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Aston Villa vs Viking FK prediction

Villa Park

Aston VillaHome
1.40 : 1.43
expected goals
Viking FKAway
36%Aston Villa
27%Draw
38%Viking FK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Viking FK to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Aston Villa 1.4, Viking FK 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aston Villa 36%, the draw 27% and Viking FK 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aston Villa took 10 points from their last 5 games and Viking FK took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aston Villa won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Viking FK won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aston Villa score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Viking FK score 2.5 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Aston Villa games and 15 of Viking FK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Aston Villarecent form+3%
  • Viking FKrecent form+1%
  • Aston Villarest between games-5%
  • Viking FKrest between games-2%
Aston Villa form D W W L WViking FK form D W W L DHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aston Villa vs Viking FK: Viking FK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aston Villa host Viking FK in the Champions League on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at Villa Park. Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Aston Villa form

Aston Villa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Viking FK form

Viking FK have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Aston Villa to score about 1.4 goals and Viking FK about 1.4. That points to Viking FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Aston VillaViking FK
Games played2020
Wins1015
Draws42
Losses63
Goals scored4051
Goals conceded2820
Scored per game2.02.5
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record4W 1D 3L9W 0D 0L
Away record6W 3D 3L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.86
Over 3.5 goals31%3.18
Both teams to score58%1.72
Aston Villa or Draw62%1.60
Viking FK or Draw64%1.56
Aston Villa to win and Over 2.523%4.43
Viking FK to win and Over 2.524%4.21
Aston Villa clean sheet24%4.19
Viking FK clean sheet25%4.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-28.5%
2-18.2%
0-17.8%
1-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Unai Emery rescues the historic Spanish club close to his heart

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery and his family stepped in to save Real Union, a historic Spanish club with deep family roots.

2 Oct 2026
Premier League

Big Matches Head Saturday Lineup Before International Break

European leagues prepare for a packed Saturday of matches as Tottenham, Aston Villa, and other top clubs seek big wins before the international break.

19 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Aston Villa vs Viking FK?

Our prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking FK is Viking FK to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Aston Villa vs Viking FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Aston Villa to score 1.4 goals and Viking FK 1.4.

Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Viking FK?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Aston Villa last 20 games and 13 of Viking FK last 20.

How are Aston Villa playing?

Aston Villa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Viking FK playing?

Viking FK have 15 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Aston Villa vs Viking FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aston Villa against Viking FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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