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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics
WNBAWed 30 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics prediction

CareFirst Arena

Atlanta DreamAway
84.4 : 80.4
projected points
Washington MysticsHome
63%Dream
37%Mystics
Eagle safe pickDream +3.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 63% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 84.4 and Washington Mystics 80.4. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -305.

Prediction
Atlanta Dream to win
Chance
63%
Projected score
Atlanta Dream 84, Washington Mystics 80
Projected total
164.8 points
Best bet
Dream +3.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dream +3.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Mystics 37% and Atlanta Dream 63%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlanta Dream the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Mystics won 4 of their last 5 and Atlanta Dream won 5 of their last 5. Atlanta Dream come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Mystics won 10 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta Dream won 8 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Mystics score 88.7 points a game and let in 83.5. Atlanta Dream score 94.0 and let in 83.4. Their recent games average 172.2 and 177.4 points in total, and the market line is 164.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Mystics won 3 and Atlanta Dream won 2. The last one ended Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dream +3.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mysticsrest between games-5%
  • Dreamrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics: Atlanta Dream are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Washington Mystics host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Wed 30 Sept, 19:00 at CareFirst Arena. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 63% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 84.4 and Washington Mystics 80.4. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -305.

Washington Mystics form

Washington Mystics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1773 points scored and 1670 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Atlanta Dream form

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1668 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Mystics won 3, Atlanta Dream won 2. Last time out it finished Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Dream to score about 84.4 points and Washington Mystics about 80.4. That points to Atlanta Dream to win. Our safest bet is Dream +3.5 at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MysticsDream
Games played2020
Wins1516
Losses54
Points scored17731881
Points conceded16701668
Scored per game88.794.0
Conceded per game83.583.4
Home record10W 1L8W 3L
Away record5W 4L8W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Mystics to win37%+171+130-15.2%
Dream to win57%-135-155-5.6%
Mystics +3.545%+121-110-13.7%
Dream -3.549%+106-110-7.4%
Over 164.5 points48%+109-110-8.8%
Under 164.5 points46%+118-110-12.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Mystics spreadCoversFair
Mystics -2.528%+259
Mystics +0.538%+165
Mystics +3.548%+107
Mystics +6.559%-145
Mystics +9.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
158.566%34%
161.559%41%
164.551%49%
167.543%57%
170.535%65%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mystics +3.5 wins if Mystics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
WNBA

DeWanna Bonner Powers Atlanta Dream Past Mystics in Playoff Opener

DeWanna Bonner sparked a third-quarter run to lift the Atlanta Dream to a 92-77 win over the Washington Mystics in Game 1.

6 hours ago
WNBA

Mystics Make History With Record Breaking 27th Victory

The Washington Mystics set a franchise record with their 27th win of the season, beating the Connecticut Sun 79-69 on Tuesday.

23 Sept 2026
WNBA

Breanna Stewart Rare Technical Foul Ends Nine Year Streak in Liberty Loss

Breanna Stewart picked up a rare technical foul as the New York Liberty fell 95-84 to Atlanta, ending her nine year streak without one.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics?

Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics is Atlanta Dream to win, with a 63% chance. We project Atlanta Dream 84.4 and Washington Mystics 80.4. Our best bet is Dream +3.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics?

We project Atlanta Dream 84.4 and Washington Mystics 80.4, about 164.8 points in total.

How are Washington Mystics playing?

Washington Mystics have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 1773 points scored and 1670 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Dream playing?

Atlanta Dream have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 1881 points scored and 1668 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Mystics and Atlanta Dream last met?

It ended Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. In the last 5 meetings Washington Mystics won 3 and Atlanta Dream won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics?

Dream +3.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mystics against Dream. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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