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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets
NBAFri 23 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets prediction

Spectrum Center

Atlanta HawksAway
115.0 : 116.5
projected points
Charlotte HornetsHome
48%Hawks
52%Hornets
Eagle safe pickHornets +6.5
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.0 and Charlotte Hornets 116.5. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -297.

Prediction
Charlotte Hornets to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 115, Charlotte Hornets 117
Projected total
231.5 points
Best bet
Hornets +6.5 at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hornets +6.5
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
44% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlotte Hornets 52% and Atlanta Hawks 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlotte Hornets won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlotte Hornets won 9 of their last 13 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Charlotte Hornets score 114.5 points a game and let in 108.2. Atlanta Hawks score 114.0 and let in 115.9. Their recent games average 222.7 and 229.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Charlotte Hornets won 3 and Atlanta Hawks won 1. The last one ended Charlotte Hornets 110, Atlanta Hawks 107.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hornets +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hornetsrest between games-2%
  • Hawksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets: Charlotte Hornets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Charlotte Hornets host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 at Spectrum Center. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.0 and Charlotte Hornets 116.5. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -297.

Charlotte Hornets form

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Charlotte Hornets won 3, Atlanta Hawks won 1. Last time out it finished Charlotte Hornets 110, Atlanta Hawks 107.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 115.0 points and Charlotte Hornets about 116.5. That points to Charlotte Hornets to win. Our safest bet is Hornets +6.5 at -297. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HornetsHawks
Games played2020
Wins1311
Losses79
Points scored22892280
Points conceded21642318
Scored per game114.5114.0
Conceded per game108.2115.9
Home record9W 4L5W 4L
Away record4W 3L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hornets spreadCoversFair
Hornets -7.532%+214
Hornets -4.541%+145
Hornets -1.550%-101
Hornets +1.560%-148
Hornets +4.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
225.563%37%
228.557%43%
231.550%50%
234.543%57%
237.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hornets +3.5 wins if Hornets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets is Charlotte Hornets to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Hawks 115.0 and Charlotte Hornets 116.5. Our best bet is Hornets +6.5 at -297.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets?

We project Atlanta Hawks 115.0 and Charlotte Hornets 116.5, about 231.5 points in total.

How are Charlotte Hornets playing?

Charlotte Hornets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2289 points scored and 2164 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Charlotte Hornets and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Charlotte Hornets 110, Atlanta Hawks 107. In the last 4 meetings Charlotte Hornets won 3 and Atlanta Hawks won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets?

Hornets +6.5 at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hornets against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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