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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets
NBAMon 26 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Atlanta HawksAway
111.9 : 116.1
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
39%Hawks
62%Rockets
Eagle safe pickHawks +12.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.9 and Houston Rockets 116.1. Our best bet is Hawks +12.5 at -299.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 112, Houston Rockets 116
Projected total
228.0 points
Best bet
Hawks +12.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hawks to win
36% chanceFair price +1751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 62% and Atlanta Hawks 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 115.1 points a game and let in 107.0. Atlanta Hawks score 114.0 and let in 115.9. Their recent games average 222.1 and 229.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Houston Rockets won 4 and Atlanta Hawks won 0. The last one ended Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets: Houston Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Mon 26 Oct, 20:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.9 and Houston Rockets 116.1. Our best bet is Hawks +12.5 at -299.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2302 points scored and 2139 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 4, Atlanta Hawks won 0. Last time out it finished Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 111.9 points and Houston Rockets about 116.1. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +12.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Hawks to win at +175.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsHawks
Games played2020
Wins1311
Losses79
Points scored23022280
Points conceded21392318
Scored per game115.1114.0
Conceded per game107.0115.9
Home record7W 4L5W 4L
Away record6W 3L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -10.531%+224
Rockets -7.540%+152
Rockets -4.549%+103
Rockets -1.559%-142
Rockets +1.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
222.562%38%
225.556%44%
228.549%51%
231.542%58%
234.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Legend and Hall of Famer Cliff Hagan Dies at 94

Hall of Fame forward Cliff Hagan, who won an NBA title with the Hawks and starred at Kentucky, has died at 94.

3 hours ago
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 111.9 and Houston Rockets 116.1. Our best bet is Hawks +12.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets?

We project Atlanta Hawks 111.9 and Houston Rockets 116.1, about 228.0 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2302 points scored and 2139 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2280 points scored and 2318 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Houston Rockets 117, Atlanta Hawks 95. In the last 4 meetings Houston Rockets won 4 and Atlanta Hawks won 0.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets?

Hawks +12.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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