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Predictions › United States › Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
NBASat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Atlanta HawksAway
121.8 : 116.0
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
70%Hawks
30%Pacers
Eagle safe pickHawks +2.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.8 and Indiana Pacers 116.0. Our best bet is Hawks +2.5 at -298.

Prediction
Atlanta Hawks to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Atlanta Hawks 122, Indiana Pacers 116
Projected total
237.8 points
Best bet
Hawks +2.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hawks +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
30% chanceFair price +2281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 30% and Atlanta Hawks 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5 and Atlanta Hawks won 2 of their last 5. Atlanta Hawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Atlanta Hawks won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 115.8 points a game and let in 122.5. Atlanta Hawks score 115.2 and let in 114.8. Their recent games average 238.4 and 230.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 2. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 129, Atlanta Hawks 124.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hawks +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pacersrest between games-3%
  • Hawksrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers: Atlanta Hawks are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Atlanta Hawks in the NBA on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.8 and Indiana Pacers 116.0. Our best bet is Hawks +2.5 at -298.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta Hawks form

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 1, Atlanta Hawks won 2. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 129, Atlanta Hawks 124.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Hawks to score about 121.8 points and Indiana Pacers about 116.0. That points to Atlanta Hawks to win. Our safest bet is Hawks +2.5 at -298. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +228.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersHawks
Games played2020
Wins411
Losses169
Points scored23172304
Points conceded24512297
Scored per game115.8115.2
Conceded per game122.5114.8
Home record1W 8L6W 3L
Away record3W 8L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers -0.531%+225
Pacers +2.540%+152
Pacers +5.549%+104
Pacers +8.559%-142
Pacers +11.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
231.564%36%
234.557%43%
237.551%49%
240.544%56%
243.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Hawks Trade Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to Hornets for Dorian Finney-Smith

The Atlanta Hawks are trading Buddy Hield and Ryan Nembhard to the Charlotte Hornets to acquire veteran forward Dorian Finney-Smith.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers is Atlanta Hawks to win, with a 70% chance. We project Atlanta Hawks 121.8 and Indiana Pacers 116.0. Our best bet is Hawks +2.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Atlanta Hawks 121.8 and Indiana Pacers 116.0, about 237.8 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2317 points scored and 2451 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Hawks playing?

Atlanta Hawks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2304 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 129, Atlanta Hawks 124. In the last 3 meetings Indiana Pacers won 1 and Atlanta Hawks won 2.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers?

Hawks +2.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Hawks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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